TJ Friedl under 0.5 hitsV
Jul 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4000
Read original reasoning
Friedl is hitting just .178 on the season with a 0.542 OPS vs RHP — well below average contact rates. He bats 7th in the Reds order, limiting high-leverage opportunities. While the TBD Rockies starter is unknown, Friedl's season-long contact struggles vs right-handed pitching make the hitless outcome likely regardless of opponent. At +140 odds, this Under 0.5 hits carries strong expected value given the raw .178 AVG and provides essential directional balance against the heavy-over slate.
TJ Friedl under 0.5 hitsL
Jul 2, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5500
Read original reasoning
Friedl is the coldest hitter in this lineup by a significant margin — .172 AVG on the season, L28d OPS 0.125, L7d OPS 0.125. He has generated virtually no offensive production in over a month. Facing Misiorowski (13.27 K/9, 1.45 ERA) while posting a .125 OPS over the past week makes a hit extremely unlikely. The -182 juice reflects market consensus, and the underlying statistical edge is firm.
Market unavailableV
Jun 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9500
Read original reasoning
Friedl is hitting just .179 on the season with an L28d OPS of .362 — one of the coldest bats in Cincinnati's lineup. Career vs. Kolek: 3 PA, .000 AVG, 0.000 OPS (2025). Kolek is a contact-suppressing ground-ball pitcher posting 3.48 ERA and limiting hard contact. Market prices this as a coin flip (-105) but the sustained cold streak and 0-for-3 career matchup strongly favor the under.
