Trent Grisham over 0.5 hitsL
Oct 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7600
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Grisham owns Nick Martinez in every sample available: career 8 PA, .667 AVG, 1.917 OPS. In 2026 specifically: 6 PA, 2.083 OPS — the most extreme active matchup dominance in this game. Martinez's overall K/9 of 5.45 means he generates limited swing-and-miss, and Grisham has squared him up repeatedly. In a postseason game where Martinez is expected to pitch 5-6 innings, Grisham gets multiple looks at a pitcher he consistently barrels.
Trent Grisham over 0.5 hitsL
Oct 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8600
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Grisham owns the strongest BvP edge in the NYY lineup vs Rasmussen: 16 career PA, .375 AVG, 0.938 OPS, 1 HR. In 2026 specifically: 8 PA, 0.750 OPS. His season average of .211 masks genuine familiarity with Rasmussen's arsenal — a 60-point batting average gap between career vs Rasmussen and his season line is meaningful. Consistent with the Yankees ML pick; NYY needs to score and Grisham projects as their most dangerous bat against today's starter.
Trent Grisham under 0.5 hitsV
Sep 2, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0000
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Grisham is 0-for-4 career vs Detmers (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS across 2025-2026). Small sample but no contact in any PA against him. His recent form is alarming — .221 OPS in the last 7 days and .706 OPS over the last 28 days. A struggling right-handed hitter with no career hits vs this southpaw makes the under at +100 (even money) a clear value play.