Market unavailableW
Jun 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
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Gibson's last 3 starts: 5K (4.0 IP), 8K (5.0 IP), 7K (4.1 IP) — averaging 6.7 Ks per outing, clearing 4.5 in all three. Season pace of 7.43 K/9 (25 Ks in 30.1 IP). CHW batters have zero career matchup history vs Gibson, removing one key edge against him. Even in shortened outings he racks strikeouts. +110 offers genuine value on a pitcher who has cleared this line in each of his last three outings. Risk: high BB rate (19 BB in 30.1 IP) could shorten his outing and cap volume.
Market unavailableL
Jun 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6900
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Gibson's K/9 sits at only 5.11 (12 K in 21.1 IP) and his last three starts are the tell: 1 K in 5.2 IP, 0 K in 4.2 IP, 7 K in 4.1 IP. Strip out the fluky 7-K outing against SD (4.1 IP, 6 ER — a meltdown game where strikeouts inflated as batters protected) and his baseline is 0-1 K per start. He averages only 4.2 IP per start. Facing LAD's home lineup (.786 OPS, 5.3 R/G at home), Gibson is very likely to be pulled early once LAD starts scoring. A short, ineffective outing capping him at 3 innings gives him no runway to accumulate Ks. Under 3.5 at -145 is warranted given the extreme inning-limiting risk.
Market unavailableL
Jun 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8000
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Gibson has recorded just 5 total strikeouts in 17.0 IP this season — 2.65 K/9. Last 3 starts: 0 Ks, 1 K, 2 Ks. He has not reached 3.5 Ks in any of his last three outings. With a 4.24 BB/9 walk rate, he pitches to contact rather than missing bats. Under 3.5 at -125 is the clearest statistical edge on the board.
