Trey Yesavage under 2.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
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Extreme outing variance in last 3 starts: 0K (2.0 IP Aug 4), 4K (6.2 IP Jul 29), 9K (4.0 IP Jul 24). On 48 days rest — longest gap of the season — adding further uncertainty to pitch count management. His outs prop line is 8.5 (under 3 full innings), signaling genuine early-exit risk. If he's pulled before the 3rd inning like his Aug 4 start, he finishes with 0-2 Ks. Under 2.5 at +110 offers real value given that scenario is well within the range of outcomes based on recent history.
Trey Yesavage over 5.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8900
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Yesavage sits at ~8.95 K/9 in 2026 (91 K in 91.2 IP). Last 3 starts: 4 K, 9 K, 9 K — two of three cleared 5.5 easily. The 4-K outing was 6.2 IP vs WSH, a contact-heavy team. HOU BvP vs Yesavage (2026 only, small sample): Altuve 0-for-3 (0.000 OPS), Alvarez 0-for-3 (0.333 OPS), Cam Smith 0-for-3 (0.333 OPS), Peña 0-for-3 (0.667 OPS). Those outcomes suggest Yesavage generates weak contact and Ks vs this lineup. 6-day extended rest supports full outing. Over 5.5 at -112 is essentially a coin flip but the K/9 and BvP both point slightly over.
Trey Yesavage over 5.5 strikeoutsV
Jul 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9200
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Yesavage posts 9.21 K/9 with a 30.6% whiff rate and 92nd percentile expected batting average against in 2026. Last two full outings: 9 Ks in 4.0 IP (Jul 24 at BOS) and 9 Ks in 6.0 IP (Jul 19 vs CHW). The Jul 11 disaster (1 K in 1.2 IP) was driven by 7 BBs and early exit — not a contact regression. No WSH batter has career matchup data vs Yesavage, eliminating a key counter-signal. Three-pitch mix led by a splitter with strong whiff results. Walk rate (42 BB in 85.0 IP) is the main risk that could shorten the outing and cap accumulation. At -109 near even money, over 5.5 Ks carries real value for a pitcher with this strikeout profile.
