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Bats L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-28 — 2026-09-27 · 127 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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No saved upcoming picks for Troy Johnston.
Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 3 past picks from 3 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
May 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.4200
Johnston leads the COL roster with a .321 BA and .943 vRHP OPS. He faces Rocker (RHP), who has a 4.34 ERA in 2026 with command issues (17 BB in 37.1 IP). Johnston's L28d OPS is 0.815 and L7d OPS 0.839 — consistent and hot. At Coors Field with a pitcher allowing elevated contact, the over 0.5 hits is strongly supported despite the -238 price reflecting the market's recognition of Johnston's quality.
May 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3400
Johnston hits .325 overall but carries a vL OPS of only 0.382 — an extreme platoon disadvantage. Mason Montgomery is a confirmed LHP. No career matchup data exists. His .382 vL OPS is one of the worst splits on the Colorado roster, making him a strong under candidate vs a lefty starter. Under at +134 offers strong value given the split severity.
Apr 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7100
Johnston is hitting .317/.371/.463 on the season with a .919 OPS vs RHP (Senga is RHP) and L7d OPS of .967. He faces a Senga who has a 8.83 ERA in 2026 and has allowed hard contact all season. Career vs Senga is only 2 PA (small sample, .000 AVG) so we rely primarily on Johnston's strong season-long RHP splits and red-hot recent form. +100 odds on over 0.5 total bases offers flat-money value on a batter performing at an elite level against right-handed pitching.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Colorado Rockies | 129 | 449 | 110 | 4 | 50 | .277 | .348 | .393 | .741 |
| 2025 · Miami Marlins | 44 | 121 | 31 | 4 | 13 | .277 | .331 | .420 | .751 |
| Career | 173 | 570 | 141 | 8 | 63 | .277 | .344 | .399 | .743 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 4 | 0.256 | 0.000 | 99.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-25 | 3 | 0.007 | 0.000 | 85.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-23 | 1 | 0.698 | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-22 | 3 | 0.551 | 0.500 | 82.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1 | 0.247 | 1.000 | 72.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-17 | 4 | 0.192 | 0.000 | 91.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-16 | 4 | 0.019 | 0.000 | 87.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-15 | 4 | 0.783 | 1.000 | 98.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-13 | 4 | 0.004 | 0.000 | 94.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-11 | 4 | 0.286 | 0.250 | 82.4 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 449 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 320 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 320 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 320 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 449 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 449 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
