May 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200
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Madden 2026: 12 K in 11.0 IP (~9.8 K/9). Last two meaningful starts: 5K (6.0 IP vs KC) and 7K (5.0 IP vs BOS). TOR is 13-19 vs RHP this season, a lineup that offers realistic strikeout opportunities. +122 offers genuine value if Madden logs 5+ innings, which his recent workload supports. The 0.2 IP disaster start (Oct vs CLE) is an outlier to discount.