Tyler Soderstrom under 0.5 hitsL
Aug 12, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3800
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Soderstrom is 0-for-4 with a 0.000 OPS in career plate appearances vs Rasmussen, all from 2025 — recent and against the same pitcher in the same role. Rasmussen carries a 2.75 ERA in 2026 with an elite K rate (~9.4 K/9). While 4 PA is a small sample, the directional signal is consistent: Soderstrom has produced nothing against him. Rasmussen's three consecutive shutout outings reinforce his current dominance. At +138 the market prices this around 42%, which undervalues the combination of Rasmussen's excellence and this specific head-to-head history. Small sample caveat acknowledged.
Tyler Soderstrom under 0.5 hitsW
Jul 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.8000
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Soderstrom is 0-for-3 vs Gray in 2025 (3 PA, 0.000 OPS) — small sample but consistent with what Gray does to lesser contact hitters. Gray's 2026 ERA is 2.78 with strong command (28 BB in 106.2 IP). Soderstrom's vR OPS is 0.854 season-wide but he has shown a tendency to struggle vs quality right-handers. Under 0.5 hits at +180 offers value if Gray approaches his season-long ceiling, though note the 3 PA sample warrants LOW confidence.
Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home runL
Jul 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 4.2000
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Soderstrom is carrying elite contact quality: 44.6% hard-hit rate and 10.1% barrel rate, with 3 HR over his last 10 games (.294 BA, 7 RBI in that span). Season .472 SLG and .863 OPS vs RHP provide power profile support. Matthews' degraded stuff (per BatCast Stuff Model) and 5.40 ERA make him hittable. At +320 (23.8% implied), the price overestimates the suppression given Soderstrom's barrel rate and recent power surge.
