Vaughn Grissom

Career vs Joe Ryan: 6 PA, .000 AVG, 0.000 OPS — 0-for-6 with zero extra-base hits. The 2026 sample (3 PA, 0.000 OPS) confirms the pattern is not just historical noise. Ryan's 9.86 K/9 this season compounds the contact suppression. At +140, the market underestimates the strength of this BvP edge — a 0-for-6 career mark against today's starter is a strong under signal.

Grissom is 0-for-3 career vs Irvin (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS). His season splits vs RHP show only a 0.707 OPS, and his L7d OPS is just 0.558. Irvin's K/9 of 8.89 gives him a real shot at retiring Grissom without a hit across 2-3 plate appearances. Under 0.5 hits at +170 provides significant value — the market implied probability is only 37.0%, while the career matchup data and current form suggest a hitless day is more likely than the price implies.

Grissom went 0-for-3 vs Cantillo in 2026 (0.000 OPS) — note: small sample (3 PA). His L28d OPS sits at 0.577, one of the weaker clips in the LAA lineup. Cantillo is a LHP with a 3.73 ERA and 9.93 K/9 in 2026. Grissom's vL OPS is 0.717, middling against southpaws. The combination of specific 2026 failure vs Cantillo (acknowledged as small sample), a cold last 28 days, and the matchup with an effective lefty gives modest under edge. Under at +156 reflects genuine market uncertainty — LOW confidence given the thin BvP sample.