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Bats R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-27 — 2026-09-26 · 144 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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No saved upcoming picks for Vladimir Guerrero Jr..
Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 20 past picks from 44 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.3700
Career vs Bassitt: 12 PA, .091 AVG, 0.258 OPS, 0 HR. In 2026 specifically: 6 PA, 0.167 OPS — persistent futility against this matchup across a non-trivial sample. Season BA of .263 evaporates here. Reaching 2+ hits against a pitcher he has never been able to touch is a steep ask. BvP signal overrides season average.
Sep 20, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.4700
Guerrero Jr. is the strongest TOR bat vs deGrom in the data: 8 PA career, .375 AVG, 0.875 OPS. More importantly his 2025 line vs deGrom was 1.000 OPS in 5 PA — the trend runs the right direction. His season .262 BA understates his deGrom familiarity. As TOR's best contact hitter vs this specific pitcher, the over is supported by the best BvP evidence available on the visiting side, even at the -213 market price.
Sep 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.7200
VGJ is 0-for-5 career vs Rocker with a 0.200 OPS overall. Critically, his 2026 sample is 0-for-3 (0.000 OPS in 3 PA this season) — the most recent and relevant data. While he's batting .262 on the season, his specific struggles vs Rocker are consistent across 2024 (2 PA, 0.500 OPS) and 2026 (0-for-3). Under at +172 (implied 36.8%) has real value if we weight the 2026 BvP data. The under total context also suppresses TOR offense. Small sample caveat acknowledged, but the directional evidence all points the same way.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Toronto Blue Jays | 144 | 609 | 141 | 9 | 57 | .260 | .332 | .356 | .688 |
| 2025 · Toronto Blue Jays | 156 | 680 | 172 | 23 | 84 | .292 | .381 | .467 | .848 |
| 2024 · Toronto Blue Jays | 159 | 697 | 199 | 30 | 103 | .323 | .396 | .544 | .940 |
| 2023 · Toronto Blue Jays | 156 | 682 | 159 | 26 | 94 | .264 | .345 | .444 | .789 |
| 2022 · Toronto Blue Jays | 160 | 706 | 175 | 32 | 97 | .274 | .339 | .480 | .819 |
| 2021 · Toronto Blue Jays | 161 | 698 | 188 | 48 | 111 | .311 | .401 | .601 | 1.002 |
| 2020 · Toronto Blue Jays | 60 | 243 | 58 | 9 | 33 | .262 | .329 | .462 | .791 |
| 2019 · Toronto Blue Jays | 123 | 514 | 126 | 15 | 69 | .272 | .339 | .433 | .772 |
| Career | 1119 | 4829 | 1218 | 192 | 648 | .285 | .361 | .478 | .839 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 4 | 0.056 | 0.000 | 78.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-25 | 5 | 0.124 | 0.200 | 74.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-23 | 4 | 0.309 | 0.250 | 88.6 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | 0.065 | 0.500 | 86.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-19 | 4 | 0.276 | 0.333 | 91.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-18 | 4 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 92.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-16 | 4 | 0.468 | 0.333 | 94.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-15 | 4 | 0.477 | 0.000 | 90.7 | 0.333 |
| 2026-09-14 | 5 | 0.344 | 0.000 | 86.7 | 0.333 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5 | 0.655 | 0.800 | 99.3 | 0.250 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 609 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 467 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 467 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 467 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 609 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 609 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
