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May 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9500
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Agnos has recorded exactly 1 strikeout in each of his last 3 consecutive starts: 1K in 4.1 IP vs ARI (May 15), 1K in 2.0 IP @PHI (May 10), 1K in 4.0 IP vs NYM (May 06) — a combined 3K in 10.1 IP. This is a profound recent-form signal, not a sample anomaly. His contact-inducing approach and 5.59 ERA suggest a pitch-to-contact style that suppresses strikeout totals far below the 2.5 line. Market pricing of -105 (51.3% implied) is a significant mispricing relative to empirical data showing sub-1.5 K per start over the last three outings.
