Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NFL game
Anytime TD Board · 2026-10-29
This board is shown exactly as it was published before kickoff. Probabilities and odds are not updated after the slate.
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Thu 8:15 PM ET
Where the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
Josh WhyleGB · TE18% model · 7% market+11.0pts+1399at build
Mark RedmanGB · TElimited data11% model · 7% market+4.6pts+1399at build
Pierre StrongGB · RB13% model · 9% market+4.3pts+1000at build
John Metchie IIICAR · WR14% model · 10% market+3.9pts+900at build
MarShawn LloydGB · RB28% model · 26% market+2.9pts+290at build
Jonnu SmithGB · TE12% model · 11% market+1.7pts+840at build
model TD% market implied
Josh Jacobs is the model's most likely scorer (50.2%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at -101 or better.
Full model board · all 28 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
1Josh Jacobsmodel's #1GB · RBoverpriced — value at -101 or better50% model · 57% market-135at build
2Chuba HubbardCAR · RBoverpriced — value at +130 or better44% model · 55% market-120at build
3Christian WatsonDylan's best playGB · WR42% model · 44% market+126at build
4Tucker KraftGB · TEoverpriced — value at +175 or better36% model · 38% market+164at build
5Matthew GoldenGB · WRoverpriced — value at +178 or better36% model · 40% market+152at build