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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
WSH @ BAL · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Game Preview
Baltimore's last season ground attack ranked 100th in explosive run rate, and the offense ranked 91st in early down success, while explosive pass rate finished 75th. Washington carried a strong red zone conversion (89th pctl) and a 64th-percentile pass rush into this matchup, but generated turnovers at just the 6th percentile last season.
Both teams operated at a slow pace last season, Baltimore 12th and Washington 17th in plays per minute, pointing toward a low-possession game. The Ravens' red zone touchdown rate ranked just 9th despite their strong run and early-down numbers, a disconnect between yardage production and scoring. Washington's inability to generate turnovers removes a common way to neutralize a run-heavy opponent.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Key Insights
- Baltimore's explosive run game (100th pctl last season) against Washington's defense, with the Commanders' turnover generation (6th pctl) offering little ability to create takeaways and flip field position
- Ravens' red zone inefficiency (9th pctl TD rate last season) despite ranking 91st in early down success and 100th in explosive run rate, a conversion gap that cost Baltimore in last season's results
- Pace: both teams ranked in the bottom 20% in plays per minute last season, suggesting a game with fewer total possessions where each drive carries added weight
Key Players
Passing YardsWSH
Athan Kaliakmanis
162YDS
11/14QB
Rushing YardsWSH
Kaytron Allen
30YDS
10 CARRB
Receiving YardsWSH
Nick Nash
62YDS
2 RECWR
SacksWSH
Maurice Hurst II
2SACKS
DT
TacklesWSH
Ale Kaho
6TOT
LB
Passing YardsBAL
Joe Fagnano
123YDS
15/20, 1 TDQB
Rushing YardsBAL
Jonathan Ward
35YDS
10 CARRB
Receiving YardsBAL
Josh Cuevas
46YDS
3 RECTE
SacksBAL
Rayshaun Benny
1SACKS
DT
TacklesBAL
Keondre Jackson
8TOT
S
Recent Form2025 season
Washington Commanders
L29-18Philadelphia Eagles
L30-23Dallas Cowboys
W24-17Philadelphia Eagles
W20-7Miami Dolphins
L17-13Detroit Lions
Baltimore Ravens
L28-24New England Patriots
W41-24Green Bay Packers
L26-24Pittsburgh Steelers
W24-7Philadelphia Eagles
W13-3Minnesota Vikings
Early look at Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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