NFL→Game Previews→Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
@
Caesars Superdome

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · MIN @ NO
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

MIN @ NO · odds in decimal
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Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Game Preview

Minnesota arrives in New Orleans with the top-ranked pass rush in the league (100th pctl sack rate generated) and the worst pass protection (3rd pctl sack rate allowed). New Orleans converts third downs at the 97th percentile, scores in the redzone at the 98th, and plays at the second-fastest pace in the league (97th pctl). The Saints also lead the league in turnover generation at the 100th percentile, creating a collision between the two statistically extreme units in the league.

The Vikings' turnover generation (88th pctl) is the clearest counter to a Saints offense that has been efficient in finishing drives. Minnesota's run game (52nd pctl explosive run rate) and their first-ranked pass rush are the two traits capable of disrupting a New Orleans offense that has been surgical in converting and scoring through four weeks.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Key Insights

  • Minnesota's pass rush (100th pctl) against New Orleans' pass protection (42nd pctl sack rate allowed), and whether the best pass rush in the league can disrupt a Saints offense converting at the 97th percentile on third down
  • Whether New Orleans' redzone efficiency (98th pctl) holds against a Vikings defense generating turnovers at the 88th percentile
  • Minnesota's pass protection (3rd pctl sack rate allowed) against a Saints pass rush at the 52nd percentile, the Vikings' own line is the vulnerability that could define their offensive output

Key Players

Passing YardsMIN
Kyler Murray
433YDS
45/71, 1 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsMIN
Aaron Jones Sr.
297YDS
72 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsMIN
T.J. Hockenson
195YDS
22 REC, 1 TDTE
SacksMIN
Dallas Turner
5.5SACKS
LB
TacklesMIN
Blake Cashman
33TOT
LB
Passing YardsNO
Tyler Shough
1,203YDS
121/180, 9 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsNO
Travis Etienne Jr.
128YDS
30 CARRB
Receiving YardsNO
Chris Olave
491YDS
35 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksNO
Chase Young
3.5SACKS
DE
TacklesNO
Jonas Sanker
26TOT
S

Recent Form

Minnesota Vikings
L34-6Denver Broncos
W39-22Green Bay Packers
W9-3Chicago Bears
W23-16Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W15-10Miami Dolphins
New Orleans Saints
W27-24Dallas Cowboys
W24-17Baltimore Ravens
L35-27Las Vegas Raiders
L45-24Atlanta Falcons

Early look at Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

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NFL→Game Previews→Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints