The Call
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The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
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Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers Game Preview
Pittsburgh generates turnovers at the 94th percentile and runs the ball explosively (83rd pctl), representing two clear strengths on defense and offense. The Steelers have not converted those traits into consistent scoring, however, ranking 17th in points per drive and 14th in both third down conversion and redzone touchdown rate. Indianapolis has been more efficient at finishing drives: 84th percentile in redzone touchdown rate and 66th in points per drive.
Pittsburgh's pass rush ranks 77th against a Colts offensive line at the 52nd percentile in protection, a gap worth monitoring. Indianapolis generates turnovers at only the 11th percentile, meaning Pittsburgh's ball-hawking defense will have consistent opportunities to create short fields throughout the game, even if converting those opportunities into scores has been a challenge.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers Key Insights
- Pittsburgh's turnover generation (94th pctl) against an Indianapolis offense that turns the ball over at only the 11th percentile, short fields versus conversion efficiency
- Indianapolis's redzone conversion (84th pctl) and whether they can finish drives against a Pittsburgh defense that has struggled to score itself
- Pittsburgh's explosive run game (83rd pctl) against a Colts defensive unit and how it fits against Indianapolis's 50th percentile third down conversion on the other side
Key Players
Passing YardsIND
Daniel Jones
754YDS
84/132, 3 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsIND
Jonathan Taylor
353YDS
86 CAR, 6 TDRB
Receiving YardsIND
Josh Downs
202YDS
17 RECWR
SacksIND
DeForest Buckner
3SACKS
DT
TacklesIND
Akeem Davis-Gaither
37TOT
LB
Passing YardsPIT
Aaron Rodgers
999YDS
88/153, 7 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsPIT
Jaylen Warren
309YDS
55 CARRB
Receiving YardsPIT
DK Metcalf
213YDS
16 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksPIT
T.J. Watt
4.5SACKS
LB
TacklesPIT
Payton Wilson
36TOT
LB
Recent Form
Indianapolis Colts
L25-16Detroit Lions
L41-23Baltimore Ravens
W19-17Houston Texans
W30-13Washington Commanders
Pittsburgh Steelers
L28-27Buffalo Bills
W20-13Atlanta Falcons
L20-3New England Patriots
W30-27Cincinnati Bengals
L27-24Cleveland Browns
Early look at Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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