NFL→Game Previews→New York Giants at Washington Commanders
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
@
Northwest Stadium

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · NYG @ WSH
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

NYG @ WSH · odds in decimal
LIVE
Loading events...

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Game Preview

Washington protects its quarterback at the 89th percentile, one of the stronger pass protection marks in the league, while New York's pass rush ranks 3rd. The Giants convert third downs at the 78th percentile, their clearest offensive strength, but rank 8th in explosive pass rate and 19th in explosive run rate, suggesting a unit that moves chains without generating big plays. Washington converts third downs at only the 9th percentile despite their strong offensive line.

New York's turnover generation ranks 91st, while Washington sits at 61st, a 30-point gap on the defensive side. Both offenses rank in the bottom 15 in explosive passing. Washington plays at a 78th percentile pace against New York's 47th, and their pass protection edge may be the asset that allows their offense to find a rhythm their third down rate has not yet produced.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Key Insights

  • Washington's pass protection (89th pctl) against a Giants pass rush that has generated pressure at only the 3rd percentile, a historically wide mismatch in those two traits
  • New York's turnover generation (91st pctl) against a Washington offense that has struggled to convert third downs (9th pctl) despite strong line protection
  • Whether either offense can generate explosive plays, both rank in the bottom 15 in explosive pass rate, making early-down efficiency the primary driver of scoring

Key Players

Passing YardsNYG
Jameis Winston
479YDS
43/78, 3 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsNYG
Cam Skattebo
235YDS
68 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsNYG
Malik Nabers
208YDS
18 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksNYG
Tremaine Edmunds
1SACKS
LB
TacklesNYG
Arvell Reese
34TOT
LB
Passing YardsWSH
Marcus Mariota
340YDS
33/51, 4 TDQB
Rushing YardsWSH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
157YDS
56 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsWSH
Stefon Diggs
170YDS
18 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksWSH
Odafe Oweh
2SACKS
LB
TacklesWSH
Jeremy Reaves
29TOT
S

Recent Form

New York Giants
W23-6New York Jets
W28-20Dallas Cowboys
L28-6Los Angeles Rams
W12-7Tennessee Titans
W36-24Arizona Cardinals
Washington Commanders
L41-3Baltimore Ravens
L24-22Philadelphia Eagles
L37-20Dallas Cowboys
W33-31Seattle Seahawks
L30-13Indianapolis Colts

Early look at New York Giants vs Washington Commanders. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

Frequently Asked Questions

NFL→Game Previews→New York Giants at Washington Commanders