NFL→Game Previews→Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
@
State Farm Stadium

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · DET @ ARI
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

DET @ ARI · odds in decimal
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Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Game Preview

Detroit arrives in Arizona as one of the more complete offensive teams in the league, ranking 91st in early down success, 88th in explosive run rate, 88th in points per drive, and 84th in plays per minute. Their pass rush ranks 84th. Arizona's most significant defensive trait is turnover generation at the 77th percentile, a 39-point gap above Detroit's 38th, giving the Cardinals a meaningful disruptive capability against a Lions offense that has been productive in most other areas.

Arizona's offense has produced almost no explosive passing plays, ranking 3rd in that category, meaning the Cardinals will need to generate yards on the ground (39th pctl explosive run) and through third down conversion (62nd pctl) rather than chunk throws. Detroit's pass protection (69th pctl sack rate allowed) faces an Arizona pass rush ranked 64th, a close matchup on that side of the ball.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Key Insights

  • Arizona's turnover generation (77th pctl) against Detroit's early-down efficiency (91st pctl), the Cardinals' best path to disrupting what has been a well-oiled Lions offense
  • Detroit's explosive run game (88th pctl) against an Arizona defense that has generated turnovers frequently but faces a Lions ground attack 49 percentile points above their own explosive run rate
  • Whether Arizona can sustain drives without explosive passing, at the 3rd percentile in that category, their offense relies entirely on efficiency rather than big plays

Key Players

Passing YardsDET
Jared Goff
1,214YDS
109/161, 9 TDQB
Rushing YardsDET
Jahmyr Gibbs
353YDS
80 CAR, 5 TDRB
Receiving YardsDET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
303YDS
31 REC, 5 TDWR
SacksDET
Aidan Hutchinson
3.5SACKS
DE
TacklesDET
Jack Campbell
33TOT
LB
Passing YardsARI
Jacoby Brissett
818YDS
103/152, 6 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsARI
Jeremiyah Love
223YDS
55 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsARI
Michael Wilson
258YDS
25 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksARI
Budda Baker
1.5SACKS
S
TacklesARI
Jack Gibbens
32TOT
LB

Recent Form

Detroit Lions
W25-16Indianapolis Colts
L41-31Buffalo Bills
W31-24New York Jets
L32-26Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
L42-38Green Bay Packers
W26-14Los Angeles Chargers
L31-7Seattle Seahawks
L36-30San Francisco 49ers
L36-24New York Giants

Early look at Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

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