The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
SF @ SEA · odds in decimalLoading events...
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Game Preview
San Francisco's offense has been elite across multiple dimensions: 100th percentile in third down conversion, 97th in early down success, 92nd in explosive pass rate, and 98th in points per drive. Their pass protection ranks 97th. Seattle counters with a pass rush at the 77th percentile and turnover generation at the 83rd, the two defensive traits most capable of disrupting a 49ers offense that generates turnovers at only the 11th percentile.
Both teams rank in the top 15 in explosive passing (San Francisco 92nd, Seattle 88th), but the third down gap is stark: San Francisco converts at the 100th percentile while Seattle sits at the 6th. The Seahawks score at the 59th percentile in points per drive, reflecting a unit that generates big plays but has not converted drives with the same consistency as the 49ers.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Key Insights
- Seattle's pass rush (77th pctl) against San Francisco's pass protection (97th pctl sack rate allowed), the Seahawks need pressure to disrupt a 49ers offense that has been near-perfect in third down conversion
- San Francisco's third down conversion rate (100th pctl) versus Seattle's defense and its 83rd pctl turnover generation, the clearest clash of strengths in this divisional matchup
- San Francisco's redzone efficiency (88th pctl) against a Seattle offense that converts in the redzone at only the 30th percentile, the finishing gap between these two units
Key Players
Passing YardsSF
Brock Purdy
1,007YDS
79/113, 11 TD, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsSF
Christian McCaffrey
218YDS
50 CAR, 4 TDRB
Receiving YardsSF
George Kittle
244YDS
16 REC, 4 TDTE
SacksSF
Keion White
2SACKS
DE
TacklesSF
Fred Warner
40TOT
LB
Passing YardsSEA
Sam Darnold
560YDS
45/69, 6 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsSEA
Emanuel Wilson
190YDS
53 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsSEA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
481YDS
32 REC, 6 TDWR
SacksSEA
Leonard Williams
3SACKS
DT
TacklesSEA
Ernest Jones IV
41TOT
LB
Recent Form
San Francisco 49ers
W18-12Las Vegas Raiders
W27-7Los Angeles Rams
W35-13Miami Dolphins
W36-30Arizona Cardinals
W24-14Denver Broncos
Seattle Seahawks
W13-10New England Patriots
W31-7Arizona Cardinals
L33-31Washington Commanders
W30-23Los Angeles Chargers
Early look at San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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