NFL→Game Previews→Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
@
SoFi Stadium

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · BUF @ LAR
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

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BUF @ LAR · odds in decimal
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Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams Game Preview

Buffalo brings one of the more complete offensive profiles in the league, ranking 97th in explosive pass rate, 100th in explosive run rate, 94th in third down conversion, and 94th in points per drive. Los Angeles counters with excellent pass protection (89th pctl sack rate allowed) and plays at a 94th percentile pace, well above Buffalo's 30th percentile tempo. The Rams have been strong explosively through the air (77th pctl) and on the ground (83rd pctl).

The scoring efficiency gap is significant: Buffalo converts drives at the 94th percentile, Los Angeles at the 47th. The Bills' early-down success (73rd pctl) holds a meaningful 34-point edge over the Rams' 39th. Buffalo's pass protection (38th pctl sack rate allowed) against a Rams pass rush at the 34th is a relatively even matchup, meaning the Bills' offensive line is not a pronounced vulnerability against this particular front.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams Key Insights

  • Los Angeles's pass protection (89th pctl sack rate allowed) against a Buffalo pass rush at the 52nd percentile, the Rams' line is one of the few structural advantages they hold over a Bills offense that has been dominant in most categories
  • Buffalo's early-down success (73rd pctl) versus the Rams' 39th, whether Los Angeles can limit first and second down efficiency before third down becomes the determining situational battle
  • The pace mismatch: the Rams play at the 94th percentile tempo against Buffalo's 30th, how that rhythm differential affects drive construction for both offenses

Key Players

Passing YardsBUF
Josh Allen
1,039YDS
79/119, 6 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsBUF
James Cook III
421YDS
70 CAR, 3 TDRB
Receiving YardsBUF
Dalton Kincaid
270YDS
15 REC, 1 TDTE
SacksBUF
Greg Rousseau
6SACKS
LB
TacklesBUF
Dorian Williams
32TOT
LB
Passing YardsLAR
Matthew Stafford
1,189YDS
99/162, 6 TD, 6 INTQB
Rushing YardsLAR
Kyren Williams
294YDS
54 CAR, 3 TDRB
Receiving YardsLAR
Davante Adams
390YDS
22 REC, 2 TDWR
SacksLAR
Byron Young
3.5SACKS
LB
TacklesLAR
Quentin Lake
31TOT
S

Recent Form

Buffalo Bills
W28-27Pittsburgh Steelers
W36-31Houston Texans
W41-31Detroit Lions
W24-16Los Angeles Chargers
L29-26New England Patriots
Los Angeles Rams
W20-18Los Angeles Chargers
L27-7San Francisco 49ers
W28-6New York Giants
L30-26Denver Broncos
W24-20Philadelphia Eagles

Early look at Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

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