The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
BAL @ CLE · odds in decimalLoading events...
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Game Preview
Baltimore arrives as one of the most complete offensive units in the league, ranking first in early-down success (100th pctl) and near the top in explosive running (91st pctl), explosive passing (84th pctl), red zone touchdown rate (88th pctl), and points per drive (88th pctl). There is almost no weakness to attack on that side of the ball.
Cleveland's offense provides a stark contrast: early-down success at 28th pctl, third-down conversion at 9th pctl, red zone TD rate at 9th pctl, points per drive at 16th pctl. The Browns' clearest asset is their pass rush (80th pctl), and Baltimore's protection has shown some vulnerability (25th pctl sack rate allowed) -- that is the one lever Cleveland can realistically pull.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Key Insights
- Cleveland's pass rush (80th pctl) against Baltimore's protection, which ranks at just the 25th pctl in sack rate allowed
- How far Baltimore's dominant early-down attack (100th pctl) and explosive run game (91st pctl) can stretch Cleveland's defense over a full four quarters
- Whether Cleveland's offense (9th pctl third-down conversion, 16th pctl points per drive) can generate enough possessions to remain competitive
Key Players
Passing YardsBAL
Lamar Jackson
967YDS
68/96, 6 TD, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsBAL
Derrick Henry
476YDS
113 CAR, 7 TDRB
Receiving YardsBAL
Zay Flowers
405YDS
26 REC, 2 TDWR
SacksBAL
Tavius Robinson
3SACKS
LB
TacklesBAL
Roquan Smith
42TOT
LB
Passing YardsCLE
Deshaun Watson
1,010YDS
95/148, 7 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsCLE
Quinshon Judkins
221YDS
73 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsCLE
Denzel Boston
330YDS
16 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksCLE
Mason Graham
4SACKS
DT
TacklesCLE
Carson Schwesinger
43TOT
LB
Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens
W41-23Indianapolis Colts
L24-17New Orleans Saints
W34-31Dallas Cowboys
W24-18Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
L34-10Jacksonville Jaguars
W23-19Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W21-18Carolina Panthers
W27-24Pittsburgh Steelers
L17-12New York Jets
Early look at Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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