The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
LAC @ KC · odds in decimalLoading events...
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Game Preview
Kansas City is dominant in the trenches on offense -- early-down success at 94th pctl, explosive run rate at 94th pctl -- and their points-per-drive rate (84th pctl) reflects a unit that converts possessions consistently. Their pass rush is near the bottom of the league (3rd pctl), however, meaning they rely on offensive control rather than defensive disruption to win games.
The Chargers allow sacks at a 3rd pctl rate -- among the worst protection in the league -- while scoring at just a 6th pctl rate per drive. Their strongest trait is turnover generation (83rd pctl), which is their most viable path to keeping the Chiefs from running away. Los Angeles converts third downs at just 22nd pctl, compounding an already difficult offensive challenge.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Key Insights
- Kansas City's dominant ground game (94th pctl explosive run rate) as the engine of an offense that converts at an 84th pctl rate per drive
- Los Angeles's protection problems (3rd pctl sack rate allowed) against a Chiefs defense that, paradoxically, generates almost no pass rush (3rd pctl sack rate generated) -- the pressure may come from scheme rather than personnel
- Whether the Chargers' turnover generation (83rd pctl) can create enough short-field opportunities to offset a 78-percentile-point gap in scoring rate per drive against the Chiefs
Key Players
Passing YardsLAC
Justin Herbert
937YDS
85/143, 5 TD, 7 INTQB
Rushing YardsLAC
Omarion Hampton
271YDS
73 CAR, 3 TDRB
Receiving YardsLAC
Tre' Harris
225YDS
15 RECWR
SacksLAC
Khalil Mack
3SACKS
LB
TacklesLAC
Daiyan Henley
32TOT
LB
Passing YardsKC
Patrick Mahomes
1,037YDS
82/128, 9 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsKC
Kenneth Walker III
537YDS
87 CAR, 4 TDRB
Receiving YardsKC
Travis Kelce
246YDS
16 REC, 2 TDTE
SacksKC
Nohl Williams
1SACKS
CB
TacklesKC
Nick Bolton
37TOT
LB
Recent Form
Los Angeles Chargers
L26-14Arizona Cardinals
L26-14Las Vegas Raiders
L24-16Buffalo Bills
L30-23Seattle Seahawks
L23-17Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
W31-10Denver Broncos
W24-10Miami Dolphins
W30-27Las Vegas Raiders
Early look at Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
Frequently Asked Questions
