NFL→Game Previews→Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers
Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET
@
Levi’s Stadium

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · WSH @ SF
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

WSH @ SF · odds in decimal
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Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers Game Preview

San Francisco is operating at an elite level in nearly every offensive category -- early-down success at 97th pctl, explosive passing at 97th pctl, red zone TD rate at 97th pctl, third-down conversion at 97th pctl, points per drive at 91st pctl. The 49ers convert at every level of the field and generate big plays through the air at will.

Washington's best offensive trait is explosive running (86th pctl), which represents their most realistic path to staying on the field. The Commanders' pass rush ranks at just 19th pctl, limiting their ability to apply defensive pressure, and the tempo contrast is stark -- Washington plays at a 73rd pctl pace against a San Francisco offense that operates at just 9th pctl, one of the wider pace gaps on the week's slate.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers Key Insights

  • San Francisco's dominant passing attack (97th pctl explosive pass rate) against a Washington pass rush that ranks near the bottom of the league (19th pctl) -- a 78-point gap
  • Washington's explosive run game (86th pctl) as their primary offensive weapon and the most credible way to control possession against a 49ers offense that scores at a 91st pctl rate per drive
  • The tempo contrast: Washington playing at a 73rd pctl pace against a San Francisco unit that operates deliberately (9th pctl) -- one of the widest pace gaps on the slate

Key Players

Passing YardsWSH
Jayden Daniels
459YDS
46/76, 3 TDQB
Rushing YardsWSH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
239YDS
67 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsWSH
Terry McLaurin
203YDS
14 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksWSH
K'Lavon Chaisson
2.5SACKS
LB
TacklesWSH
Jeremy Reaves
37TOT
S
Passing YardsSF
Brock Purdy
1,196YDS
98/142, 13 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsSF
Christian McCaffrey
286YDS
61 CAR, 5 TDRB
Receiving YardsSF
Mike Evans
326YDS
24 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksSF
Keion White
3SACKS
DE
TacklesSF
Fred Warner
50TOT
LB

Recent Form

Washington Commanders
L24-22Philadelphia Eagles
L37-20Dallas Cowboys
W33-31Seattle Seahawks
L30-13Indianapolis Colts
San Francisco 49ers
W27-7Los Angeles Rams
W35-13Miami Dolphins
W36-30Arizona Cardinals
W24-14Denver Broncos
W32-29Seattle Seahawks

Early look at Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

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