Denver's offense is severely limited: 6th percentile on third downs, 12th in explosive passing, and only 17th in points per drive. The Broncos finish in the red zone at the 61st percentile when they get there, but getting there is the challenge against a Cardinals pass rush at the 70th percentile. Two defenses that generate pressure set up a game decided by mistakes.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

• Arizona's 91st-percentile pace against a Broncos defense that generates turnovers at the 91st percentile -- high-volume games test ball security
• Denver's red zone efficiency (61st pctl) versus Arizona's red zone struggles (16th pctl), a 45-point gap that matters if the Broncos can generate scoring chances
• Cardinals' third-down conversion (59th pctl) against a Broncos offense that converts at just the 6th percentile, the largest third-down gap in this matchup