The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
LV @ NYJ · odds in decimalLoading events...
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Game Preview
New York's defense brings an elite pass rush, ranked at the 91st pctl in sack rate generated, against a Las Vegas offense that protects its passer at the 88th pctl, setting up one of the more compelling unit-against-unit matchups on the slate. The Jets also succeed on early downs at the 86th pctl, giving the offense a strong foundation despite a slow pace (14th pctl in plays per minute).
The structural contradiction in New York's profile is the redzone: despite early-down efficiency and a strong pass rush, the Jets convert touchdowns there at just the 3rd pctl. Las Vegas creates turnovers at the 88th pctl and scores at the 81st pctl in points per drive, but relies almost entirely on the passing game, its explosive run rate ranks at only the 12th pctl.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Key Insights
- New York's 91st pctl pass rush against Las Vegas's 88th pctl pass protection, the most evenly matched unit clash of the game and a potential deciding factor
- The Jets' redzone failure rate (3rd pctl touchdown conversion) despite 86th pctl early-down success, whether New York can finally translate sustained drives into points
- Las Vegas's 88th pctl turnover creation against a Jets offense that allows sacks at the 16th pctl, how often the Raiders can manufacture short fields through takeaways
Key Players
Passing YardsLV
Kirk Cousins
1,877YDS
161/257, 16 TD, 5 INTQB
Rushing YardsLV
Ashton Jeanty
328YDS
106 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsLV
Tre Tucker
474YDS
29 REC, 4 TDWR
SacksLV
Malcolm Koonce
3SACKS
DE
TacklesLV
Nakobe Dean
68TOT
LB
Passing YardsNYJ
Geno Smith
1,623YDS
145/207, 10 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsNYJ
Braelon Allen
418YDS
91 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsNYJ
Garrett Wilson
444YDS
37 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksNYJ
David Bailey
5.5SACKS
LB
TacklesNYJ
Dane Belton
56TOT
S
Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders
W35-27New Orleans Saints
L30-27Kansas City Chiefs
L45-17New England Patriots
L33-30Buffalo Bills
L35-21Los Angeles Rams
New York Jets
L31-24Detroit Lions
L23-12Chicago Bears
W17-12Cleveland Browns
L26-19New England Patriots
L28-25Miami Dolphins
Early look at Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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