Miami converts third downs at a respectable 69th pctl rate, suggesting the offense can move the chains when it reaches manageable distances, but the inputs getting there, early down efficiency and explosive play rate, have been poor all season. The Dolphins generate almost no pass rush (3rd pctl) and create turnovers at just the 16th pctl, limiting the defense's ability to generate momentum swings in their favor.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

• New England's 67th pctl pass rush against Miami's 12th pctl pass protection, one of the clearer defensive edges on the slate and a potential driver of the game's tone
• Miami's 3rd pctl early-down success rate and whether the Dolphins can establish enough rhythm to reach third-down situations where their 69th pctl conversion rate can show up
• The turnover battle: New England at the 50th pctl versus Miami at the 16th pctl, whether the Dolphins' defense can generate takeaways despite minimal structural advantage