The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
DAL @ IND · odds in decimalLoading events...
Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts Game Preview
Dallas runs one of the league's most efficient offenses without relying on big plays, the Cowboys rank at the 97th percentile in points per drive and 91st in third-down conversion despite sitting at the 22nd and 19th percentile for explosive pass and run rates. The offensive line protects at a 94th-percentile rate, which is the engine behind this methodical production.
Indianapolis counters with a fast tempo (78th percentile) and a solid explosive run game (64th percentile), but the Colts score near the bottom of the league in points per drive (25th percentile) and generate almost no turnovers on defense (6th percentile). The Cowboys' ability to grind long drives will test whether Indianapolis can manufacture stops without taking the ball away.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts Key Insights
- Dallas's elite pass protection (94th pctl sack rate allowed) against Indianapolis's pass rush (50th pctl), the Cowboys' offensive line is the foundation of their efficiency
- Indianapolis's explosive run game (64th pctl) as the Colts' primary mechanism for generating offense against a Cowboys defense with limited turnover upside (17th pctl)
- Whether Indianapolis can generate any stops given a 6th-percentile turnover rate, the Colts rarely take the ball away against any opponent
Key Players
Passing YardsDAL
Dak Prescott
2,046YDS
197/302, 14 TD, 5 INTQB
Rushing YardsDAL
Javonte Williams
528YDS
134 CAR, 8 TDRB
Receiving YardsDAL
CeeDee Lamb
709YDS
60 REC, 6 TDWR
SacksDAL
Quinnen Williams
5SACKS
DT
TacklesDAL
Caleb Downs
52TOT
S
Passing YardsIND
Daniel Jones
1,542YDS
162/268, 5 TD, 9 INTQB
Rushing YardsIND
Jonathan Taylor
610YDS
148 CAR, 8 TDRB
Receiving YardsIND
Josh Downs
330YDS
30 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksIND
Adetomiwa Adebawore
4SACKS
DT
TacklesIND
Akeem Davis-Gaither
65TOT
LB
Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys
W34-30Houston Texans
L24-16Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L23-13Green Bay Packers
W38-21Philadelphia Eagles
Indianapolis Colts
W30-13Washington Commanders
L34-22Pittsburgh Steelers
L26-20Tennessee Titans
L16-10Minnesota Vikings
L42-7Jacksonville Jaguars
Early look at Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
Frequently Asked Questions
