New England has been the more consistent unit at the base of drives, 75th-percentile early-down success, an 86th-percentile pass rush, and 66th-percentile third-down conversion. The Patriots carry a 33-point edge in explosive run rate as well (41st vs. 8th percentile). Green Bay's turnover-generating defense (91st vs. 44th percentile for New England) is the Packers' sharpest edge over a Patriots offense that has otherwise been steady.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

• Green Bay's turnover-generation defense (91st pctl) against New England's offense, takeaways are the Packers' primary mechanism for disrupting New England's balanced production
• New England's pass rush (86th pctl) against Green Bay's above-average pass protection (78th pctl), the most defined unit collision in the game
• Green Bay's early-down struggles (30th pctl) and whether the Packers can avoid consistently falling into third-and-long against a Patriots defense that converts stops into short-field opportunities