The Call
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Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears Game Preview
Chicago operates at a 100th-percentile pace, generates sacks at the 97th percentile, and produces explosive passing plays at a 94th-percentile rate, one of the more complete offensive and defensive profiles in the league. Tampa Bay's singular counter is a ball-hawking defense that generates turnovers at a 100th-percentile rate, the best mark in the league this season.
The central structural tension is pass protection: Tampa Bay's offensive line ranks at the 6th percentile for sack rate allowed, among the worst in the league, and the Buccaneers are walking into a Chicago defense that generates sacks at a 97th-percentile rate. That mismatch at the line is the game's most defined edge. Tampa Bay's ability to generate turnovers is the primary mechanism for offsetting Chicago's offensive and pass-rush production.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears Key Insights
- Chicago's elite pass rush (97th pctl sack rate generated) against Tampa Bay's struggling pass protection (6th pctl sack rate allowed), the most severe pressure mismatch on this week's slate
- Tampa Bay's 100th-percentile turnover generation against Chicago's offense as the Buccaneers' primary counter to the Bears' scoring efficiency (78th pctl points per drive)
- Chicago's explosive passing (94th pctl) against a Tampa Bay secondary that will face significant exposure given the protection breakdown in front of it
Key Players
Passing YardsTB
Baker Mayfield
679YDS
68/110, 3 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsTB
Bucky Irving
728YDS
147 CAR, 5 TDRB
Receiving YardsTB
Chris Godwin Jr.
243YDS
27 RECWR
SacksTB
David Walker
4SACKS
LB
TacklesTB
Josiah Trotter
68TOT
LB
Passing YardsCHI
Caleb Williams
1,267YDS
112/158, 6 TD, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsCHI
D'Andre Swift
545YDS
143 CAR, 10 TDRB
Receiving YardsCHI
Luther Burden III
547YDS
42 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksCHI
Kyler Gordon
4SACKS
CB
TacklesCHI
Dillon Thieneman
52TOT
S
Recent Form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L17-14Green Bay Packers
W24-16Dallas Cowboys
W43-13Carolina Panthers
W16-0Atlanta Falcons
Chicago Bears
W23-12New York Jets
L31-7Green Bay Packers
W31-23Atlanta Falcons
W30-24New England Patriots
W34-17Seattle Seahawks
Early look at Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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