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Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
@
M&T Bank Stadium

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · LAC @ BAL
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

LAC @ BAL · odds in decimal
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Game Preview

Baltimore holds a broad structural advantage in this Sunday night matchup. The Ravens rank at the 78th percentile in early-down success, 77th in explosive runs, and 53rd in red zone touchdowns against a Chargers offense that ranks 9th, 25th, and 16th in those same categories. Los Angeles ranks at the 3rd percentile in points per drive, a 35-point gap below Baltimore's already-modest 38th percentile.

The Chargers' strongest trait is a 78th-percentile turnover generation rate, 42 points above Baltimore, which is their most viable path to changing momentum in a game where the Ravens lead most efficiency categories. Los Angeles plays at a faster tempo (64th vs. Baltimore's 25th percentile), and converting turnovers into points against a Ravens offense that is not particularly explosive could keep this game competitive.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Key Insights

  • Los Angeles's 78th-percentile turnover generation rate (42 points above Baltimore) as the Chargers' primary competitive advantage in a game where the Ravens lead most efficiency categories
  • Baltimore's 77th-percentile explosive run game against a Chargers defense that ranks 25th in explosive run rate allowed -- a 52-point gap that shapes the Ravens' offensive approach
  • Whether the Chargers can overcome a 35-point scoring efficiency gap (Baltimore 38th vs. Los Angeles 3rd in points per drive) by converting turnovers into points

Key Players

Passing YardsLAC
Justin Herbert
1,591YDS
144/235, 6 TD, 11 INTQB
Rushing YardsLAC
Omarion Hampton
369YDS
102 CAR, 3 TDRB
Receiving YardsLAC
Ladd McConkey
286YDS
17 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksLAC
Khalil Mack
3SACKS
LB
TacklesLAC
Daiyan Henley
51TOT
LB
Passing YardsBAL
Lamar Jackson
967YDS
68/97, 6 TD, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsBAL
Derrick Henry
689YDS
175 CAR, 8 TDRB
Receiving YardsBAL
Zay Flowers
614YDS
43 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksBAL
Mike Green
3.5SACKS
LB
TacklesBAL
Roquan Smith
74TOT
LB

Recent Form

Los Angeles Chargers
L30-23Seattle Seahawks
L23-17Denver Broncos
L22-6Kansas City Chiefs
L24-9Los Angeles Rams
L44-22Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
L13-10Cleveland Browns
L35-13Cincinnati Bengals
L36-10Buffalo Bills
L33-10Jacksonville Jaguars

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens odds compared across sportsbooks, with team form, key players and stats. Our picks are posted the day before kickoff.

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