• Seahawks ML -122: Seattle’s 94.9% long drive efficiency (100th percentile) matches a team that can win a close game with steady offense.

• Seahawks -3.5 (+142): If you like Seattle, the spread offers plus money, but it comes with the key number risk (a 3-point game beats you).

• Under 43.0 (-127): Seattle’s slower pace profile ( 99.0% plays per minute, 22nd percentile ) can shrink total plays and scoring chances.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 88.5 receiving (-119): Seattle’s top-end explosive pass profile gives him a path to a big day on limited catches.

• Kenneth Walker III under 44.5 rushing (-116): The Rams rate well at limiting explosive runs (2.7% explosive runs allowed), and Seattle’s LT health is a swing factor.

• Sam Darnold under 225.5 passing (-120): If the Rams lean into short throws and longer drives (and if LT play is shaky), volume and depth can dip.

This game sets up like a tug-of-war between explosive passing and drive control. Seattle rates as one of the league’s best at creating big pass plays, and the Rams can answer with their own downfield hit rate.

The matchup may come down to who stays on schedule. Seattle’s defense has been strong at getting off the field on third down, while Seattle’s offense has a weak third-and-long profile. That puts extra pressure on early-down execution for both teams.

From a betting view, the market expects a close, lower-scoring game with the total parked around the low 40s. The weather note matters too. Seattle looks cool with some showers, so monitor late updates before you lock anything in.

If you play it, keep it simple. Tight spreads swing on one busted coverage or one red-zone stop. That is why moneyline, totals, and a couple of clean player yardage angles often fit better than trying to be perfect on the exact margin.