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DEN
NYG
Game Preview
The Giants head to Denver on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. It is rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart against a Broncos defense that lives in backfields. The setting is Empower Field at Mile High.
Denver’s identity is clear. The Broncos lead the league in turning pressure into sacks. Pressure-to-sack conversion means how often a hurry ends as a sack, and Denver sits at 13.3%, elite. The Giants’ pass protection is average by rate and could be down key starters with Andrew Thomas and John Michael Schmitz Jr. both listed Questionable.
New York can answer by playing fast and leaning on quick throws. The Giants use no-huddle 16.0% of snaps and shotgun 56.2%. That helps a young back like Cam Skattebo as a safety valve. But finishing drives has been a problem. Their red-zone TD rate is 45.5% and Denver’s defense gives up TDs on just 26.7% of red-zone trips.
Denver’s offense has been steady in protection with a 2.4% sack rate allowed. The explosive pass game is not their strength, though. The Broncos’ deep-ball explosive rate is only 1.9%, and the Giants are good at limiting big pass plays at 5.6% allowed. Expect a field-position game where sacks, scrambles, and red-zone stops decide it.
Current Season Form
DEN
AwayNYG
HomeHead-to-Head Summary
Past Results
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | @ NYJ | W 13-11 | W +-7.5 | u43.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ PHI | W 21-17 | W +3.5 | u44.5 |
| 2025-09-29 | vs CIN | W 28-3 | W +7.5 | u44.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ LAC | L 20-23 | L 2.5 | u45.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ IND | L 28-29 | W +-2.5 | o43.5 |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TEN | W 20-12 | W +8.5 | u42.5 |
| 2025-01-12 | @ BUF | L 7-31 | L 7.5 | u48.5 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs KC | W 38-0 | W +10.5 | u40.5 |
| 2024-12-28 | @ CIN | L 24-30 | L 3.5 | o50.5 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ LAC | L 27-34 | L 3.0 | o41.5 |
Key Insights
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Broncos pass rush sets the tone. Denver’s defense generates sacks on 13.3% of dropbacks (top tier).
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Giants O-line health matters. LT Andrew Thomas (Q) and C John Michael Schmitz Jr. (Q) directly tie to NYG’s 7.1% sack rate allowed.
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Red-zone leverage favors Denver. Broncos defense allows TDs on 26.7% of red-zone trips; Giants offense sits at 45.5%.
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Big-play passes may be scarce. NYG allows explosive passes at 5.6%; DEN’s deep-pass explosive rate is 1.9%.
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Giants tempo is a tool. No-huddle 16.0% and shotgun 56.2% can stress Denver’s substitutions and create RB targets.
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Sample-size note. Big-play TD rates (NYG 26.3%, DEN 23.5%) come from small samples (19 and 17 plays).
Betting Insights
Anchor spread: Broncos -7.5 (+102). Plus-money on the hook. It leans on Denver’s 13.3% sack rate and elite 72.8% third-down stops.
Anchor total: 41.5 — Under -147 / Over -105. Explosive pass numbers are muted on both sides, and red-zone stops favor a lower total. Heavy juice to the Under, so size stakes accordingly.
Broncos team total 23.5: Under -116 / Over -122. NYG caps explosives 5.6%; that can hold Denver to drives, not shots.
Giants team total 16.0: Under -120 / Over -118. Denver’s red-zone defense 26.7% and sack rate push Under risk.
Bo Nix Under 218.5 pass yds (-120): NYG limits chunk passes and DEN’s deep rate is 1.9%.
Jaxson Dart Under 165.5 pass yds (-119) (volatility: Q): Pressure plus 72.8% third-down stop rate can stall drives.
Final Summary
Denver owns the sharper edges on defense. The Broncos rush the passer at a top-tier rate and shut the door in the red zone. That profile wins a lot of ugly games at altitude.
New York’s counter is tempo and the quarterback run game. If Dart plays and avoids negative plays, the Giants can hang around with scrambles and quick throws to Skattebo. But red-zone finishing has lagged.
Explosive passes are unlikely to decide this. Protection, field position, and who cashes short fields will. That setup leans Under and favors Denver at home.
Our anchors land on Broncos -7.5 (+102) and Total 41.5, Under -147. Shop numbers, respect the juice, and keep prop exposure modest until the injury picture clears.
Statistical Battle Boards
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Points | 121 | #24 | 95 | #31 | |
| Total Points Per Game | 20.2 | #26 | 15.8 | #2 | |
| Total Touchdowns | 14 | #18 | 6 | #1 | |
| Passing Touchdowns | 7 | #28 | 4 | #2 | |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 7 | #5 | 2 | #3 | |
| Other Touchdowns | 0 | #19 | 0 | #17 | |
| Total Kicking Points | 35 | #28 | 57 | #3 | |
| Total Two Point Conversions | 1 | #13 | 0 | #24 | |
| Kick Extra Points | 11 | #23 | 6 | #32 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Passing Yards | 1212 | #14 | 991 | #29 | |
| Net Passing Yards Per Game | 202 | #17 | 165 | #30 | |
| Passer Rating | 82.1 | #27 | 81 | #28 | |
| Passing Attempts | 197 | #14 | 189 | #17 | |
| Completions | 122 | #20 | 109 | #27 | |
| Completion Percentage | 61.9 | #28 | 57.7 | #2 | |
| Passing 1st downs | 55 | #24 | 54 | #8 | |
| Passing 1st Down % | 43.7 | #32 | 56.8 | #16 | |
| Longest Pass | 52 | #21 | 52 | #19 | |
| Passing Fumbles Lost | 2 | #6 | 1 | #19 | |
| Receiving Targets | 187 | #14 | 179 | #18 | |
| Receptions | 122 | #20 | 109 | #6 | |
| Receiving Yards After Catch | 610 | #20 | 528 | #7 | |
| YAC Average | 5 | #14 | 4.8 | #12 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 757 | #9 | 534 | #7 | |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 126 | #10 | 89 | #27 | |
| Rushing Attempts | 181 | #2 | 138 | #7 | |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.2 | #19 | 3.9 | #25 | |
| Rushing 1st downs | 54 | #1 | 25 | #3 | |
| 20+ Yard Rushing Plays | 3 | #21 | 1 | #24 | |
| Long Rushing | 24 | #26 | 68 | #6 | |
| Rushing Fumbles | 3 | #21 | 1 | #24 | |
| Rushing Fumbles Lost | 1 | #16 | 1 | #10 | |
Game Preview of New York Giants @ Denver Broncos. Week 7 of 2025 NFL Season
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