NFLGame PreviewsTEN VS LV Preview Week6 12-Oct-2025

Game Preview of Tennessee Titans @ Las Vegas Raiders. Week 6 of 2025 NFL Season

TEN logo

TEN

1-4-0
@
12OCT25
04:05pm
LV logo

LV

1-4-0
Allegiant Stadium

Game Preview

The Titans visit the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 12, with kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET. Both teams are 1–4. Both need this game to keep the season alive.

 

Las Vegas wants to lean on explosive passes. The data backs it up. The Raiders rank near the top in rate of chunk gains, and their scheme creates them. Tennessee fights back with a defense that limits breakaway runs and sits around league average against deep shots.

 

Health is a major storyline. The Raiders lost pieces up front and will manage more injuries at tight end. The Titans list quarterback Cam Ward and wideout Calvin Ridley as questionable, which could cap their passing ceiling if either is limited.

 

Oddsmakers expect a lower-scoring, one-way lean. The board lines up around Raiders -5.5 with a total near 41.5. Given both offenses struggle on third down and in the red zone, finishing drives will decide it.

Current Season Form

TEN logo

TEN

Away
Record:1-4-0
ATS:2-3-0
O/U:3-2-0
LV logo

LV

Home
Record:1-4-0
ATS:1-4-0
O/U:2-3-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
2-3Winner logo
ATS:2-3-0
O/U:2-2-1

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-10-05@ INDL 6-40L 7.0u46.5
2025-09-28vs CHIL 24-25W +1.5o47.5
2025-09-21@ WASL 24-41L 2.5o43.5
2025-09-15vs LACL 9-20L -3.5u46.5
2025-09-07@ NEW 20-13W +2.5u44.5
2025-01-05vs LACL 20-34L -7.0o42.5
2024-12-29@ NOW 25-10W +-2.0u37.5
2024-12-22vs JAXW 19-14W +2.5u41.5
2024-12-16vs ATLL 9-15L -6.5u44.5
2024-12-08@ TBL 13-28L 7.0u47.0

Key Insights

 

  • Raiders create explosives through design. Las Vegas ranks first percentile in scheme explosive rate (6.4%) and posts a 10.0% explosive pass rate. That stresses a Titans defense that allows 6.3% explosive passes.

  • Titans offense stalls on money downs. Tennessee converts only 31.9% on third down. That invites punts and long fields.

  • Red-zone efficiency is a concern for both. LV scores TDs on just 35.7% of red-zone trips, while TEN sits at 44.4%. Expect field goals or fourth-down decisions.

  • Protection could swing the game. TEN allows sacks on 9.4% of dropbacks and LV on 8.9%. With Raiders OL injuries and multiple Titans linemen questionable, negative plays loom.

  • Run games may be explosive-lite. TEN’s offense generates 1.8% explosive runs (low), while LV’s defense allows only 2.4% explosive runs.

  • Tempo lever for Tennessee. The Titans use no-huddle on 9.7% of snaps, a top-20 rate, to help a young QB. Small sample notes: their 100% fourth-down aggression marker comes from just one try.

 

Betting Insights

  • Anchor spread: Raiders -5.5 (+114) — plus money on a near-TD margin; LV’s edge is explosive passing and TEN’s poor third downs (31.9%).

  • Anchor total: 41.5Over -115 / Under -116. Both teams lag in red-zone TD rate (LV 35.7%, TEN 44.4%), which keeps the Under live at fair juice.

  • Raiders team total 23.0: Over -123 / Under -116. Explosive pass rate (10.0%) supports the Over, but OL injuries introduce variance.

  • Titans team total 17.5: Over -112 / Under -127. TEN’s 31.9% third-down rate argues caution on the Over at this number.

  • Geno Smith over 216.5 pass yds (-120): Matches LV’s explosive-pass profile vs TEN’s 6.3% allowed.

  • Tre Tucker over 42.5 rec yds (-120): Slots into LV’s 6.4% scheme explosive rate; speed fits the matchup.

  • Cam Ward over 193.5 pass yds (-118) if active: Titans’ no-huddle 9.7% can goose attempts. Volatility note: Ward is listed Questionable.

As always, prices carry juice. Player props on anyone Questionable have higher variance; plan your stake size accordingly.

Final Summary

This matchup comes down to finishing drives. The Raiders can strike deep but have sputtered inside the 20. The Titans fight, but third downs and protection keep putting them behind the sticks.

Las Vegas has the cleaner path. Their passing game creates explosives by design, and Tennessee’s run game lacks pop. If the Raiders hold up just enough in protection, they can stack chunk plays and a few short fields.

Tennessee’s upset path is simple. Get Ward cleared and comfortable, win first down, and keep the chains in makeable range. Their defense must force Las Vegas into long drives, where the Raiders’ 61.1% long-drive efficiency lags.

Given the data, the card points to Raiders -5.5 (+114) with a lean to the Under 41.5 at near-even juice. Props favor the passing attacks, but check inactives. If Ward or Ridley sit, Titans overs take a hit.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: LV Offense vs TEN Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points83#29141#6TEN advantage
Total Points Per Game16.6#3028.2#26TEN advantage
Total Touchdowns8#2916#25TEN advantage
Passing Touchdowns6#266#11TEN advantage
Rushing Touchdowns2#2810#32LV advantage
Other Touchdowns0#170#2TEN advantage
Total Kicking Points33#2139#14TEN advantage
Total Two Point Conversions1#80#24LV advantage
Kick Extra Points6#3115#6TEN advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards1051#131100#11TEN advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game210#16220#12TEN advantage
Passer Rating74.9#3095.1#15TEN advantage
Passing Attempts163#14158#18LV advantage
Completions106#17111#11TEN advantage
Completion Percentage65#2170.3#28LV advantage
Passing 1st downs55#1448#11TEN advantage
Passing 1st Down %59.8#448#6LV advantage
Longest Pass61#1143#27LV advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#281#20TEN advantage
Receiving Targets159#13152#16LV advantage
Receptions106#17111#21LV advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch588#8570#23LV advantage
YAC Average5.5#75.1#19LV advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards563#18734#31LV advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game113#20147#3TEN advantage
Rushing Attempts127#18147#28LV advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt4.4#155#5TEN advantage
Rushing 1st downs29#2239#26LV advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays3#114#10TEN advantage
Long Rushing64#771#2TEN advantage
Rushing Fumbles3#114#10TEN advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost1#130#21LV advantage