NFLGame PreviewsWAS VS GB Preview Week2 season 11-SEP-2025

Game Preview of Washington Commanders @ Green Bay Packers. Week 2 of 2025 NFL Season

WAS logo

WAS

1-0-0
@
11SEP25
08:15pm
GB logo

GB

1-0-0
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Game Preview

Washington visits Green Bay at Lambeau Field on Thursday, Sept. 11, 2025 (8:15 PM ET). The Packers are small home favourites at -3.5 (+102). The total sits near 48.5 (Over -108 / Under -102).

 

The headline matchup is speed vs pressure. Dan Quinn knows Micah Parsons well, but he now has to block him. Green Bay converts pressures to sacks at 9.3% (above average, small sample). Washington allowed pressure last week and is down two linemen (Sam Cosmi Out; Lucas Niang on IR). That puts more on Jayden Daniels’ legs and quick throws.

 

Green Bay’s pass game brings a vertical spark. The Packers post a 13.6% deep explosive rate (20+ yards), 98th percentile on limited attempts. They also defend chunk plays, allowing only 2.4% explosive passes (small sample). If that holds, Washington may need steady chains to score, not just big shots.

 

Availability could swing this. For Washington, Austin Ekeler is Questionable. For Green Bay, Christian Watson is Out, while Jayden Reed and key linemen Zach Tom and Aaron Banks are Questionable. If those Packers pieces trend in, Jordan Love’s life gets easier; if not, expect more quick game and tight red-zone football.

Current Season Form

WAS logo

WAS

Away
Record:1-0-0
ATS:1-0-0
O/U:0-1-0
GB logo

GB

Home
Record:1-0-0
ATS:1-0-0
O/U:0-1-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
3-2Winner logo
ATS:4-1-0
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-07vs DETW 27-13W +1.5u48.5
2025-01-12@ PHIL 10-22L 5.5u45.5
2025-01-05vs CHIL 22-24W +10.0o41.5
2024-12-29@ MINL 25-27L -1.0o49.0
2024-12-23vs NOW 34-0W +14.0u44.0
2024-12-15@ SEAW 30-13W +-3.0u48.0
2024-12-05@ DETL 31-34L 3.0o53.0
2024-11-28vs MIAW 30-17W +3.5u47.5
2024-11-24vs SFW 38-10W +6.5o44.5
2024-11-17@ CHIW 20-19W +-6.0u41.0

Key Insights

 

  • Packers -3.5 is the market anchor (+102); Lambeau lift plus explosive-pass edge.

  • Total 48.5 near a key number; GB defense has capped explosives so far (2.4% allowed, small sample after  1 game).

  • GB deep shots pop (13.6% rate; 98th pct), but WR health (Reed Q, Watson Out) is a real factor.

  • Washington OL is stretched (Cosmi Out; Niang IR) vs GB’s above-avg pressure-to-sack (9.3%).

  • Deebo’s role is feature-back-adjacent: 10 targets and schemed touches in debut.

  • Keep in mind, sample sizes are small this early; variance is higher in Week 2.

 

 

Betting Insights

 

  • Spread anchor: Packers -3.5 (+102 at SBK). Lean GB at the key half-point with plus money; GB’s explosive-pass edge and home field help. OL/WR Qs add risk.

  • Total anchor: Under 48.5 (-102 at SBK). Early signs point to capped explosives from GB’s defense plus injury noise on both lines.

  • Jayden Daniels over 46.5 rushing yards (-122). He ran for 68 yards in Week 1 (storyline) and faces a defense that finishes pressures (9.3%), which can trigger scrambles.

  • Deebo Samuel over 52.5 receiving yards (-116). Ten targets in his debut and manufactured touches raise his floor.

  • Romeo Doubs over 41.5 receiving yards (-118). With Watson Out, perimeter volume is available; GB’s 13.6% deep explosive rate supports chunk chances.

  • Jayden Reed over 3.5 receptions (+106, if active). Plus-money for a short-area chain mover; volatility if he’s limited.

 

 

Final Summary

This shapes up as a field-position and explosives test. Green Bay’s vertical game has flashed, and their defense has limited chunk plays. Washington brings speed and creativity with Deebo Samuel and a dual-threat quarterback. The battle in the trenches may decide it.

Injuries matter. Washington is light on the offensive line. Green Bay’s WR and OL lists are cloudy. If the Packers get Reed and their linemen, their pass game opens up. If not, expect more quick throws and Josh Jacobs work near the goal line.

The number fits a one-score script. At -3.5, Green Bay gets a nudge from home field and early deep-ball success, but it’s thin. The total at 48.5 asks both teams to sustain drives; early-season variance and those Questionable tags could slow scoring.

Bottom line: slight edge to Green Bay at the current spread and a lean to the under at 48.5. Props tied to quarterback legs (Daniels) and featured volume (Deebo, Doubs) offer clear paths, but watch inactives and late line moves before you fire.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: GB Offense vs WAS Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points27#76#32GB advantage
Total Points Per Game27#76#1WAS advantage
Total Touchdowns3#70#2WAS advantage
Passing Touchdowns2#50#5🏈
Rushing Touchdowns1#190#12WAS advantage
Other Touchdowns0#320#21WAS advantage
Total Kicking Points9#86#22GB advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#120#24GB advantage
Kick Extra Points3#30#32GB advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards188#19157#23GB advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game188#19157#23GB advantage
Passer Rating129#459.3#29GB advantage
Passing Attempts22#3037#24WAS advantage
Completions16#2617#24WAS advantage
Completion Percentage72.7#845.9#2WAS advantage
Passing 1st downs8#259#16WAS advantage
Passing 1st Down %57.1#1752.9#14WAS advantage
Longest Pass48#525#26GB advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#90#19GB advantage
Receiving Targets22#2732#15WAS advantage
Receptions16#2617#9WAS advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch39#3284#16WAS advantage
YAC Average2.4#324.9#22WAS advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards78#2174#10WAS advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game78#2174#23GB advantage
Rushing Attempts25#1923#10WAS advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt3.1#253.2#24WAS advantage
Rushing 1st downs4#234#11WAS advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays0#120#17GB advantage
Long Rushing15#1915#19🏈
Rushing Fumbles0#120#17GB advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost0#110#21GB advantage