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Match Predictor
Pre-match Prediction
Cincinnati Reds 50%Tampa Bay Rays 50%
Market LinesRun Line: Tampa Bay Rays -0.5Total: O/U 7.5
↓
Model: Under 7.5
Model projects 7.1 total runs vs 7.5 line
Cincinnati Reds
Bullpen ERA 2.20 (elite). Should hold late-inning leads.
All Over 7.5
57%
13/23
MLB: 48%
Starter
25%
1/4
vs TB
0%
0/1
Avg Total
7.4
MLB: 8.9
Game Starter (4) Last Starter vs TB vs TB (1)
Chase Burns #26 · RHP · Age 23
2.42
ERA (2026)
9.0
K/9 (2026)
4
Starts (2026)
5.0
Avg Total (2026)
Last 3:
ND SF (Apr 16): 6.0IP, 0ER, 4K
L LAA (Apr 10): 5.1IP, 5ER, 2K
ND @TEX (Apr 05): 6.0IP, 1ER, 9K
ND SF (Apr 16): 6.0IP, 0ER, 4K
L LAA (Apr 10): 5.1IP, 5ER, 2K
ND @TEX (Apr 05): 6.0IP, 1ER, 9K
Bullpen (2026 Season)Elite
ERA: 2.20MLB Avg: 3.958 relievers
Recent: L 0-3W 2-1W 5-4W 7-4W 6-1
Lineup vs Chase Burns (Career)
No career matchup data — first meaningful meeting
Tampa Bay Rays
Bullpen ERA 5.09 (poor). Late innings could add runs.
All Over 7.5
82%
18/22
MLB: 48%
Starter
100%
4/4
vs CIN
0%
0/1
Avg Total
10.0
MLB: 8.9
Game Starter (4) Last Starter vs CIN vs CIN (1)
Steven Matz #32 · LHP · Age 35
3.80
ERA (2026)
9.0
K/9 (2026)
4
Starts (2026)
10.5
Avg Total (2026)
Last 3:
ND @CHW (Apr 16): 5.1IP, 2ER, 4K
W NYY (Apr 10): 5.0IP, 2ER, 7K
W @MIN (Apr 04): 6.0IP, 1ER, 8K
ND @CHW (Apr 16): 5.1IP, 2ER, 4K
W NYY (Apr 10): 5.0IP, 2ER, 7K
W @MIN (Apr 04): 6.0IP, 1ER, 8K
vs CIN: ND (Apr 30 2025): 4.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K
Bullpen (2026 Season)Poor
ERA: 5.09MLB Avg: 3.959 relievers
Recent: W 5-3L 1-5W 8-7L 3-6L 1-6
Lineup vs Steven Matz (Career)
| Batter | Pos | PA | AVG | OPS | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez | 3B | 13 | .417 | 0.962 | 0 |
| Bryan Hayes | 3B | 9 | .375 | 1.194 | 1 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 1B | 8 | .125 | 0.250 | 0 |
| Matt McLain | 2B | 6 | .500 | 1.667 | 1 |
| Spencer Steer | 1B | 6 | .500 | 1.000 | 0 |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 4 | .250 | 0.500 | 0 |
| Dane Myers | CF | 3 | .667 | 1.334 | 0 |
| Elly De La Cruz | SS | 3 | .667 | 2.334 | 1 |
| TJ Friedl | CF | 3 | .000 | 0.000 | 0 |
| Will Benson | LF | 1 | .000 | 1.000 | 0 |
3 batters with no matchup history
Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Game Preview
The Cincinnati Reds (15-8) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (12-10) at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay Rays is 4-3 at home this season.
Key Players
Batting AverageCIN
Sal Stewart
.289Batting Average
3B
Home RunsCIN
Sal Stewart
8Home Runs
3B
Runs Batted InCIN
Sal Stewart
21Runs Batted In
3B
Earned Run AverageCIN
Rhett Lowder
3.10Earned Run Average
SP
WinsCIN
Rhett Lowder
3Wins
SP
StrikeoutsCIN
Chase Burns
22Strikeouts
SP
Batting AverageTB
Chandler Simpson
.337Batting Average
LF
Home RunsTB
Junior Caminero
5Home Runs
3B
Runs Batted InTB
Yandy Diaz
17Runs Batted In
1B
Earned Run AverageTB
Nick Martinez
2.45Earned Run Average
SP
WinsTB
Steven Matz
3Wins
SP
StrikeoutsTB
Steven Matz
21Strikeouts
SP
Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds
L3-0San Francisco Giants
W2-1Minnesota Twins
W5-4Minnesota Twins
W6-1Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
W5-3Chicago White Sox
L5-1Pittsburgh Pirates
L6-3Pittsburgh Pirates
L6-1Cincinnati Reds
Head-to-Head History
Season SeriesCIN leads series 1-0
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | CIN @ TB | CINCIN 6-1 |
Compare odds for CIN @ TB
Frequently Asked Questions
