NFL Betting
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Anytime TD Board · 2026-11-02
This board is shown exactly as it was published before kickoff. Probabilities and odds are not updated after the slate.
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Mon 8:15 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Emanuel WilsonSEA · RB41% model · 25% market+15.4pts+295at build
- George HolaniSEA · RB21% model · 15% market+6.0pts+580at build
- Zach CharbonnetDylan's pickSEA · RB45% model · 41% market+4.8pts+146at build
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the model's most likely scorer (46.9%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at +113 or better.
Full model board · all 42 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Jaxon Smith-Njigbamodel's #1SEA · WRoverpriced — value at +113 or better47% model · 49% market+106at build
- 2Zach CharbonnetDylan's pickSEA · RB45% model · 41% market+146at build
- 3D'Andre SwiftCHI · RBoverpriced — value at +123 or better45% model · 50% market+102at build
- 4Emanuel WilsonSEA · RB41% model · 25% market+295at build
- 5Kyle MonangaiCHI · RBoverpriced — value at +227 or better31% model · 55% market-120at build
- 6Colston LovelandCHI · TE30% model · 32% market+215at build
- 7Rome OdunzeCHI · WR25% model · 29% market+245at build
- 8AJ BarnerSEA · TE24% model · 30% market+235at build
- 9Luther Burden IIICHI · WR24% model · 31% market+225at build
- 10Jadarian PriceSEA · RBlimited data23% model · 29% market+250at build
- 11George HolaniSEA · RB21% model · 15% market+580at build
- 12Tory HortonSEA · WR19% model · 22% market+360at build
- 13Cooper KuppSEA · WR19% model · 25% market+295at build
- 14Kalif RaymondCHI · WR16% model · 17% market+500at build
- 15Rashid ShaheedSEA · WR15% model · 22% market+350at build
- 16Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB14% model · 19% market+440at build
- 17Brady RussellSEA · RB10% model · 5% market+2098at build
- 18Roschon JohnsonCHI · RB9% model · 24% market+310at build
- 19Eric SaubertSEA · TE9% model · 8% market+1150at build
- 20Sam DarnoldSEA · QB9% model · 14% market+620at build
- 21Velus Jones Jr.SEA · RB9% model · 14% market+620at build
- 22Nick KallerupSEA · TE8% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 23Jahdae WalkerCHI · WR7% model · 5% market+2098at build
- 24Stephen CarlsonCHI · TE6% model · 3% market+3105at build
- 25Zavier ScottCHI · RB6% model · 5% market+2098at build
- 26Zavion ThomasCHI · WR5% model · 8% market+1200at build
- 27Sam RoushCHI · TE4% model · 11% market+820at build
- 28Cam LewisCHI · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 29Jaylon JohnsonCHI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 30Josh JobeSEA · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 31Devon WitherspoonSEA · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 32Kyler GordonCHI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+14825at build
- 33Dillon ThienemanCHI · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 34Julian LoveSEA · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 35Nick EmmanworiSEA · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 36Ty OkadaSEA · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 37Devin BushCHI · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+4900at build
- 38Ernest JonesSEA · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+11948at build
- 39T.J. EdwardsCHI · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+14825stale
- 40Austin BookerCHI · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+23710at build
- 41Jeffery SimmonsCHI · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+23156at build
- 42Grady JarrettCHI · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
First TD scorer market (27)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Zach CharbonnetSEA · RBATD 45.4%+410at build
- 2Emanuel WilsonSEA · RBATD 40.7%+440at build
- 3D'Andre SwiftCHI · RBATD 44.9%+480at build
- 4Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WRATD 46.9%+490at build
- 5Kyle MonangaiCHI · RBATD 30.6%+500at build
- 6Colston LovelandCHI · TEATD 30.3%+1049at build
- 7Luther Burden IIICHI · WRATD 23.9%+1150at build
- 8Jadarian PriceSEA · RBATD 22.8%+1200at build
- 9AJ BarnerSEA · TEATD 24.4%+1250at build
- 10Rome OdunzeCHI · WRATD 24.9%+1250at build
- 11Cooper KuppSEA · WRATD 18.9%+1450at build
- 12Tory HortonSEA · WRATD 19.1%+1699at build
- 13Roschon JohnsonCHI · RBATD 9.1%+1748at build
- 14Caleb WilliamsCHI · QBATD 14.3%+1849at build
- 15George HolaniSEA · RBATD 20.7%+1900at build
- 16Rashid ShaheedSEA · WRATD 15.4%+2001at build
- 17Kalif RaymondCHI · WRATD 16.4%+2497at build
- 18Sam DarnoldSEA · QBATD 8.6%+2799at build
- 19Velus Jones Jr.SEA · RBATD 8.5%+3301at build
- 20Sam RoushCHI · TEATD 4.1%+3702at build
- 21Eric SaubertSEA · TEATD 8.7%+4708at build
- 22Zavion ThomasCHI · WRATD 4.9%+5888at build
- 23Brady RussellSEA · RBATD 9.9%+9424at build
- 24Jahdae WalkerCHI · WRATD 7.4%+9424at build
- 25Nick KallerupSEA · TEATD 7.5%+9424at build
- 26Zavier ScottCHI · RBATD 5.6%+9424at build
- 27Stephen CarlsonCHI · TEATD 5.7%+9900at build
