Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NFL game
Anytime TD Board · 2026-11-05
This board is shown exactly as it was published before kickoff. Probabilities and odds are not updated after the slate.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens
Thu 8:15 PM ET
Where the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
Zay FlowersBAL · WR34% model · 23% market+11.4pts+340at build
Tanner KoziolJAX · TElimited data11% model · 5% market+6.0pts+2098at build
C.J. WilliamsJAX · WRlimited data11% model · 6% market+4.3pts+1500at build
Rashod BatemanBAL · WR14% model · 10% market+4.2pts+880at build
Brian Thomas Jr.JAX · WR18% model · 16% market+2.0pts+520at build
model TD% market implied
Bhayshul Tuten is the model's most likely scorer (46.9%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at +113 or better.
Full model board · all 29 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
1Bhayshul Tutenmodel's #1JAX · RBoverpriced — value at +113 or better47% model · 49% market+106at build
2Parker WashingtonJAX · WRoverpriced — value at +179 or better36% model · 39% market+158at build
3Derrick HenryBAL · RBoverpriced — value at +186 or better35% model · 41% market+142at build
4Zay FlowersBAL · WR34% model · 23% market+340at build
5Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX · RBoverpriced — value at +280 or better26% model · 49% market+106at build