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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
NO @ DAL · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys Game Preview
Dallas last season operated at the fastest pace in the league (100th pctl) with strong early-down success (81st pctl), 81st-percentile points per drive, and an 81st-percentile sack rate allowed. New Orleans ranked near the bottom offensively: 6th in explosive pass, 5th in explosive run, and 16th in points per drive. Their pass rush, however, generated sacks at the 88th percentile.
The Saints' pass rush (88th pctl) faces a Cowboys offensive line that protected at the 81st percentile, a tighter matchup than New Orleans's offensive output alone suggests. Dallas's ball security ranked at the 11th percentile in turnover generation last season, which becomes a factor against a Saints defense that can generate consistent pressure.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys Key Insights
- New Orleans's sack generation (88th pctl last season) against Dallas's pass protection (81st pctl), as the Saints' best trait meets the Cowboys' reliable offensive line
- Dallas's pace (100th pctl last season) and whether tempo limits New Orleans's ability to substitute and adjust defensively against a high-efficiency Cowboys offense
- Saints' offensive limitations: ranked 6th in explosive pass, 5th in explosive run, and 16th in points per drive last season, among the league's lowest production totals across the board
Key Players
Passing YardsNO
Spencer Rattler
141YDS
14/23, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsNO
Kendre Miller
22YDS
6 CARRB
Receiving YardsNO
CJ Donaldson
51YDS
4 RECRB
TacklesNO
Jackson Sirmon
11TOT
LB
Passing YardsDAL
Joe Milton III
179YDS
9/13, 2 TDQB
Rushing YardsDAL
Jaydon Blue
75YDS
15 CARRB
Receiving YardsDAL
Camden Brown
77YDS
2 RECWR
SacksDAL
Sam Williams
1SACKS
LB
TacklesDAL
Alijah Clark
9TOT
S
Recent Form2025 season
New Orleans Saints
W29-6New York Jets
W34-26Tennessee Titans
L19-17Atlanta Falcons
L24-20Jacksonville Jaguars
L34-0Los Angeles Rams
Dallas Cowboys
L34-17Los Angeles Chargers
W30-23Washington Commanders
L34-17New York Giants
W17-7Seattle Seahawks
W34-13Arizona Cardinals
Early look at New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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