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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
LAR @ DEN · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos Game Preview
Los Angeles has an elite offensive line (95th percentile in sack protection) but has not converted that stability into production: the offense ranks in the bottom 10 in points per drive, third-down conversion, and explosive run plays. Denver runs the ball explosively (92nd percentile) but similarly struggles to finish drives, ranking in the bottom 25 in redzone touchdown rate (27th percentile) and third-down conversion (16th percentile).
This is a low-scoring profile on both sides. Denver's pass rush (44th percentile) faces a Los Angeles line that rarely concedes pressure, while Los Angeles's near-absent pass rush (6th percentile) faces a Denver unit at the 55th percentile.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos Key Insights
- Denver's explosive running game (92nd pctl) against a Los Angeles defense that generates almost no pass rush (6th pctl) but has not been challenged by this style of attack
- Whether Los Angeles's elite offensive line (95th pctl in sack protection) can provide enough time for an offense that has scored at only the 8th percentile per drive regardless of protection
- Redzone and third-down inefficiency on both sides: neither team converts at a high rate, making early scoring and field position central to the outcome
Key Players
Passing YardsLAR
Matthew Stafford
482YDS
37/56, 4 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsLAR
Blake Corum
133YDS
22 CARRB
Receiving YardsLAR
Davante Adams
221YDS
11 REC, 2 TDWR
SacksLAR
Wesley Bailey
1SACKS
LB
TacklesLAR
Quentin Lake
17TOT
S
Passing YardsDEN
Bo Nix
419YDS
39/59, 2 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsDEN
J.K. Dobbins
72YDS
18 CARRB
Receiving YardsDEN
Jaylen Waddle
140YDS
9 RECWR
SacksDEN
Zach Allen
2SACKS
DE
TacklesDEN
Alex Singleton
25TOT
LB
Recent Form2025 season
Los Angeles Rams
W20-12Kansas City Chiefs
W34-0New Orleans Saints
W20-18Los Angeles Chargers
L27-7San Francisco 49ers
W28-6New York Giants
Denver Broncos
W27-7Atlanta Falcons
L33-13Green Bay Packers
W34-6Minnesota Vikings
L31-10Kansas City Chiefs
W20-13Jacksonville Jaguars
Early look at Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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