The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
HOU @ TEN · odds in decimalLoading events...
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Game Preview
Houston enters with a strong passing attack (92nd pctl explosive pass rate) and an elite pass rush (91st pctl), while playing at a 73rd percentile pace, well above Tennessee's 6th percentile tempo. The Titans rank 9th in early down success and 12th in points per drive, representing one of the lower-converting offenses in the league. Tennessee's pass protection has been solid at the 69th percentile, placing their line against one of the stronger pass rushes in the league.
Houston's offensive line protection sits at the 34th percentile, facing a Titans pass rush at the 59th, a gap that merits attention. Tennessee carries more explosiveness through the run game (58th pctl) than through the air (19th pctl), and their ability to control tempo against a faster Houston unit will be a central tension in how this game unfolds.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Key Insights
- Houston's pass rush (91st pctl) versus Tennessee's pass protection (69th pctl sack rate allowed), a 22-point gap at the most critical defensive edge in the game
- Whether Tennessee can use its run game (58th pctl explosive run rate, 42 points above Houston's 16th) to manufacture drives and slow the pace
- Houston's explosive passing attack (92nd pctl) and whether Tennessee's secondary can limit the chunk play rate that has defined the Texans' offense
Key Players
Passing YardsHOU
C.J. Stroud
1,141YDS
93/151, 5 TDQB
Rushing YardsHOU
David Montgomery
127YDS
47 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsHOU
Dalton Schultz
214YDS
21 RECTE
SacksHOU
Will Anderson Jr.
4.5SACKS
DE
TacklesHOU
Reed Blankenship
34TOT
S
Passing YardsTEN
Cam Ward
726YDS
75/119, 3 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsTEN
Tony Pollard
221YDS
54 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsTEN
Carnell Tate
268YDS
22 RECWR
SacksTEN
Jeffery Simmons
2SACKS
DT
TacklesTEN
Anthony Hill Jr.
42TOT
LB
Recent Form
Houston Texans
L16-13Carolina Panthers
L36-31Buffalo Bills
L20-6Cincinnati Bengals
L19-17Indianapolis Colts
L34-30Dallas Cowboys
Tennessee Titans
L24-15Chicago Bears
L23-10New York Jets
L24-20Philadelphia Eagles
L12-7New York Giants
L24-18Baltimore Ravens
Early look at Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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