The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
NO @ NYG · odds in decimalLoading events...
New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants Game Preview
New Orleans and New York share a similar profile in some ways: both struggle to generate explosive plays through the air (Saints 31st pctl, Giants 12th pctl) and neither dominates early downs (Saints 16th, Giants 25th pctl). Yet both convert third downs at a high rate (Saints 88th pctl, Giants 81st pctl) and are capable of finishing drives -- the Saints rank at 94th pctl in red zone TD rate, the Giants at 70th pctl.
The Saints play at a fast pace (86th pctl) while the Giants rely on turnover generation (73rd pctl) rather than big plays as their defensive identity. New Orleans generates turnovers at a poor rate (20th pctl), which could become a factor against a Giants defense that creates takeaways consistently.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants Key Insights
- New Orleans' elite red zone finishing (94th pctl) against a Giants defense that generates turnovers at a 73rd pctl rate -- can the Saints get into scoring range before the defense takes it away
- Both teams' reliance on third-down conversion rather than early-down efficiency -- Saints at 88th pctl, Giants at 81st pctl -- making sustained drives the primary scoring mechanism for each offense
- New Orleans' weak turnover-forcing defense (20th pctl) against a Giants offense that won't threaten them with big plays (12th pctl explosive pass rate) but will try to control the ball
Key Players
Passing YardsNO
Tyler Shough
1,299YDS
137/205, 9 TD, 5 INTQB
Rushing YardsNO
Travis Etienne Jr.
128YDS
30 CARRB
Receiving YardsNO
Chris Olave
537YDS
39 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksNO
Chase Young
4SACKS
DE
TacklesNO
Pete Werner
35TOT
LB
Passing YardsNYG
Jameis Winston
805YDS
76/132, 6 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsNYG
Cam Skattebo
294YDS
81 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsNYG
Malik Nabers
329YDS
29 REC, 2 TDWR
SacksNYG
Tremaine Edmunds
2SACKS
LB
TacklesNYG
Arvell Reese
43TOT
LB
Recent Form
New Orleans Saints
W24-17Baltimore Ravens
L35-27Las Vegas Raiders
L45-24Atlanta Falcons
L23-13Minnesota Vikings
New York Giants
W28-20Dallas Cowboys
L28-6Los Angeles Rams
W12-7Tennessee Titans
W36-24Arizona Cardinals
Early look at New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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