NFL Betting
Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NFL game
Anytime TD Board · 2026-11-01
This board is shown exactly as it was published before kickoff. Probabilities and odds are not updated after the slate.
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun 1:00 PM ETJon's best play · Anytime TD
Zay FlowersBAL · WR
43.7%our model
vs39.4%market implied
+4.3ptsmodel edge
+154price at build
Our calibrated model gives Zay Flowers a 43.7% shot at the end zone, while the market is only pricing 39.4%. That gap is the play.
Where the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Keon ColemanBUF · WR32% model · 23% market+9.3pts+340at build
- Justice HillBAL · RB21% model · 14% market+7.9pts+640at build
- Ray DavisBUF · RB17% model · 10% market+7.6pts+950at build
- Ty JohnsonBUF · RB21% model · 14% market+7.5pts+620at build
- Nick VannettBAL · TE12% model · 6% market+5.9pts+1500at build
- Devontez WalkerBAL · WR15% model · 9% market+5.6pts+1000at build
- Matthew HibnerBAL · TE14% model · 9% market+5.2pts+1049at build
- Jackson HawesBUF · TE13% model · 8% market+4.9pts+1200at build
- Zay FlowersJon's best playBAL · WR44% model · 39% market+4.3pts+154at build
- Skyler BellBUF · WRlimited data14% model · 10% market+3.8pts+880at build
- Dawson KnoxBUF · TE20% model · 17% market+3.1pts+490at build
- Josh CuevasBAL · TE12% model · 10% market+2.2pts+900at build
Josh Allen is the model's most likely scorer (57.4%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at -135 or better.
Full model board · all 50 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Josh Allenmodel's #1BUF · QBoverpriced — value at -135 or better57% model · 58% market-137at build
- 2James CookBUF · RBoverpriced — value at -128 or better56% model · 57% market-132at build
- 3Derrick HenryBAL · RBoverpriced — value at -114 or better53% model · 68% market-217at build
- 4Zay FlowersJon's best playBAL · WR44% model · 39% market+154at build
- 5Keon ColemanBUF · WR32% model · 23% market+340at build
- 6Dalton KincaidBUF · TE30% model · 31% market+225at build
- 7Khalil ShakirBUF · WR25% model · 30% market+235at build
- 8DJ MooreBUF · WR23% model · 33% market+205at build
- 9Ty JohnsonBUF · RB21% model · 14% market+620at build
- 10Justice HillBAL · RB21% model · 14% market+640at build
- 11Mark AndrewsBAL · TE21% model · 32% market+215at build
- 12Rashod BatemanBAL · WR20% model · 20% market+410at build
- 13Dawson KnoxBUF · TE20% model · 17% market+490at build
- 14Ja'Kobi LaneBAL · WRlimited data20% model · 25% market+295at build
- 15Ray DavisBUF · RB17% model · 10% market+950at build
- 16Devontez WalkerBAL · WR15% model · 9% market+1000at build
- 17Tyler HuntleyBAL · QB14% model · 25% market+300stale
- 18Skyler BellBUF · WRlimited data14% model · 10% market+880at build
- 19Matthew HibnerBAL · TE14% model · 9% market+1049at build
- 20Josh PalmerBUF · WR13% model · 14% market+600at build
- 21Jackson HawesBUF · TE13% model · 8% market+1200at build
- 22Josh CuevasBAL · TE12% model · 10% market+900at build
- 23Nick VannettBAL · TE12% model · 6% market+1500at build
- 24Lamar JacksonBAL · QB10% model · 24% market+310at build
- 25Greg DortchBUF · WR8% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 26Rasheen AliBAL · RB8% model · 4% market+2298at build
- 27Keleki LatuBUF · TE6% model · 8% market+1200at build
- 28LaJohntay WesterBAL · WR5% model · 4% market+2199at build
- 29Christian BenfordBUF · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 30Davison IgbinosunBUF · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+6893at build
- 31Marlon HumphreyBAL · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 32Nate WigginsBAL · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 33Damar HamlinBUF · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 34Cole BishopBUF · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 35Malaki StarksBAL · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 36Kyle HamiltonBAL · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 37Bradley ChubbBUF · OLBlimited data1% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 38Roquan SmithBAL · ILBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 39Dorian WilliamsBUF · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 40Terrel BernardBUF · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 41Trenton SimpsonBAL · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 42Trey HendricksonBAL · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+19900at build
- 43Greg RousseauBUF · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+20733at build
- 44Mike GreenBAL · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+26927at build
- 45Calais CampbellBAL · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 46Landon JacksonBUF · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 47Travis JonesBAL · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+26927at build
- 48Nnamdi MadubuikeBAL · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+27678at build
- 49Deone WalkerBUF · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 50Ed OliverBUF · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (28)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Derrick HenryBAL · RBATD 53.2%+350at build
- 2James CookBUF · RBATD 56.2%+460at build
- 3Josh AllenBUF · QBATD 57.4%+470at build
- 4DJ MooreBUF · WRATD 22.5%+900at build
- 5Zay FlowersBAL · WRATD 43.7%+1000at build
- 6Dalton KincaidBUF · TEATD 30.2%+1150at build
- 7Mark AndrewsBAL · TEATD 21.1%+1399at build
- 8Keon ColemanBUF · WRATD 32.0%+1500at build
- 9Khalil ShakirBUF · WRATD 25.1%+1601at build
- 10Lamar JacksonBAL · QBATD 9.9%+1801at build
- 11Ja'Kobi LaneBAL · WRATD 19.6%+2001at build
- 12Tyler HuntleyBAL · QBATD 14.4%+2001stale
- 13Dawson KnoxBUF · TEATD 20.0%+2400at build
- 14Rashod BatemanBAL · WRATD 20.2%+2400at build
- 15Justice HillBAL · RBATD 21.4%+2497at build
- 16Josh PalmerBUF · WRATD 13.3%+3301at build
- 17Ty JohnsonBUF · RBATD 21.4%+3301at build
- 18Jackson HawesBUF · TEATD 12.6%+5395at build
- 19Josh CuevasBAL · TEATD 12.2%+5395at build
- 20Matthew HibnerBAL · TEATD 13.9%+5395at build
- 21Devontez WalkerBAL · WRATD 14.7%+5888at build
- 22Greg DortchBUF · WRATD 8.2%+6394at build
- 23Ray DavisBUF · RBATD 17.1%+6394at build
- 24Skyler BellBUF · WRATD 14.0%+6394at build
- 25Keleki LatuBUF · TEATD 6.4%+7900at build
- 26LaJohntay WesterBAL · WRATD 4.8%+9900at build
- 27Nick VannettBAL · TEATD 12.2%+9900at build
- 28Rasheen AliBAL · RBATD 7.7%+9900at build
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Mitchell TinsleyCIN · WR17% model · 9% market+8.5pts+1049at build
- Michael CarterTEN · RB17% model · 13% market+4.6pts+680at build
- Jack EndriesCIN · TElimited data14% model · 10% market+4.1pts+950at build
- Carnell TateTEN · WR25% model · 24% market+1.6pts+320at build
- Elic AyomanorTEN · WR18% model · 17% market+1.4pts+490at build
Chase Brown is the model's most likely scorer (54.4%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at -119 or better.
Full model board · all 43 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Chase Brownmodel's #1CIN · RBoverpriced — value at -119 or better54% model · 57% market-133at build
- 2Tee HigginsCIN · WRoverpriced — value at +131 or better43% model · 47% market+114at build
- 3Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · WRoverpriced — value at +147 or better41% model · 51% market-104at build
- 4Tony PollardTEN · RBoverpriced — value at +158 or better39% model · 42% market+140at build
- 5Mike GesickiCIN · TEoverpriced — value at +255 or better28% model · 33% market+205at build
- 6Samaje PerineCIN · RB27% model · 34% market+198at build
- 7Carnell TateTEN · WR25% model · 24% market+320at build
- 8Elic AyomanorTEN · WR18% model · 17% market+490at build
- 9Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · WR18% model · 23% market+340at build
- 10Michael CarterTEN · RB17% model · 13% market+680at build
- 11Mitchell TinsleyCIN · WR17% model · 9% market+1049at build
- 12Drew SampleCIN · TE17% model · 16% market+520at build
- 13Cam WardTEN · QB15% model · 17% market+490at build
- 14Dohnte MeyersCIN · WR15% model · 20% market+410at build
- 15Jack EndriesCIN · TElimited data14% model · 10% market+950at build
- 16Gunnar HelmTEN · TE13% model · 16% market+540at build
- 17Joe BurrowCIN · QB12% model · 17% market+490at build
- 18Tahj BrooksCIN · RB10% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 19Cam GrandyCIN · TE8% model · 10% market+950at build
- 20Daniel BellingerTEN · TE7% model · 10% market+950at build
- 21Calvin RidleyTEN · WR7% model · 16% market+520at build
- 22Chimere DikeTEN · WR6% model · 10% market+880at build
- 23Tyjae SpearsTEN · RB6% model · 13% market+700at build
- 24Colbie YoungCIN · WRlimited data5% model · 7% market+1349at build
- 25David Martin-RobinsonTEN · TE5% model · 3% market+3702at build
- 26Julius ChestnutTEN · RB2% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 27Kylen GransonTEN · TE2% model · 3% market+3301at build
- 28Kalel MullingsTEN · RB2% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 29Cordale FlottTEN · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 30Joshua WilliamsTEN · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 31Jordan BattleCIN · SAFlimited data1% model · 3% market+3497at build
- 32Bryan CookCIN · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+4708at build
- 33Daxton HillCIN · DBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 34Amani HookerTEN · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 35Kevin Winston Jr.TEN · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 36Barrett CarterCIN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+6893at build
- 37Demetrius Knight Jr.CIN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 38Anthony Hill Jr.TEN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 39Cedric GrayTEN · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+23710at build
- 40Jermaine Johnson IITEN · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 41John Franklin-MyersTEN · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203stale
- 42Jacob MartinTEN · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 43Solomon ThomasTEN · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900stale
First TD scorer market (28)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Chase BrownCIN · RBATD 54.4%+350at build
- 2Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · WRATD 40.5%+420at build
- 3Tee HigginsCIN · WRATD 43.2%+500at build
- 4Tony PollardTEN · RBATD 38.7%+600at build
- 5Samaje PerineCIN · RBATD 26.9%+880at build
- 6Mike GesickiCIN · TEATD 28.2%+1100at build
- 7Dohnte MeyersCIN · WRATD 15.0%+1601at build
- 8Carnell TateTEN · WRATD 25.4%+2001at build
- 9Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · WRATD 18.1%+2098at build
- 10Joe BurrowCIN · QBATD 11.7%+2497at build
- 11Drew SampleCIN · TEATD 16.6%+2603at build
- 12Calvin RidleyTEN · WRATD 6.9%+2903at build
- 13Elic AyomanorTEN · WRATD 18.3%+3497at build
- 14Gunnar HelmTEN · TEATD 12.7%+3497at build
- 15Michael CarterTEN · RBATD 17.4%+3497at build
- 16Mitchell TinsleyCIN · WRATD 17.2%+3702at build
- 17Tyjae SpearsTEN · RBATD 5.5%+3900at build
- 18Cam GrandyCIN · TEATD 7.9%+4900at build
- 19Cam WardTEN · QBATD 15.1%+4900at build
- 20Chimere DikeTEN · WRATD 6.0%+4900at build
- 21Jack EndriesCIN · TEATD 13.6%+4900at build
- 22Colbie YoungCIN · WRATD 5.2%+6394at build
- 23Daniel BellingerTEN · TEATD 7.2%+6394at build
- 24David Martin-RobinsonTEN · TEATD 5.2%+9900at build
- 25Julius ChestnutTEN · RBATD 2.3%+9900at build
- 26Kylen GransonTEN · TEATD 1.7%+9900at build
- 27Tahj BrooksCIN · RBATD 9.9%+9900at build
- 28Kalel MullingsTEN · RBATD 1.7%+29312at build
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun 1:00 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Camden BrownDAL · WRlimited data14% model · 8% market+5.3pts+1100at build
- Ryan FlournoyDAL · WR32% model · 27% market+5.1pts+275at build
- Tyler AllgeierARI · RB26% model · 22% market+3.8pts+360at build
- Hunter LuepkeDAL · RB14% model · 10% market+3.6pts+880at build
Javonte Williams is the model's most likely scorer (57.6%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at -136 or better.
Full model board · all 40 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Javonte Williamsmodel's #1DAL · RBoverpriced — value at -136 or better58% model · 68% market-217at build
- 2Trey McBrideARI · TEoverpriced — value at +116 or better46% model · 49% market+104at build
- 3CeeDee LambDAL · WRoverpriced — value at +134 or better43% model · 52% market-110at build
- 4Michael WilsonARI · WR36% model · 35% market+182at build
- 5George PickensDAL · WRoverpriced — value at +196 or better34% model · 47% market+114at build
- 6Jeremiyah LoveARI · RB34% model · 37% market+174at build
- 7Ryan FlournoyDAL · WR32% model · 27% market+275at build
- 8Tyler AllgeierARI · RB26% model · 22% market+360at build
- 9Jake FergusonDAL · TE23% model · 31% market+225at build
- 10Brevyn Spann-FordDAL · TE15% model · 19% market+420at build
- 11Tyler GoodsonDAL · RB15% model · 21% market+380at build
- 12Kendrick BourneARI · WR14% model · 21% market+370at build
- 13Hunter LuepkeDAL · RB14% model · 10% market+880at build
- 14Camden BrownDAL · WRlimited data14% model · 8% market+1100at build
- 15Jacoby BrissettARI · QB12% model · 11% market+780at build
- 16Elijah HigginsARI · TE11% model · 14% market+600at build
- 17Jonathan MingoDAL · WR10% model · 12% market+720at build
- 18Evan HullARI · RB9% model · 5% market+1849at build
- 19Teagan QuitorianoARI · TE9% model · 10% market+950at build
- 20Reggie VirgilARI · WRlimited data9% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 21Zay JonesARI · WR9% model · 10% market+880at build
- 22Dak PrescottDAL · QB9% model · 18% market+450at build
- 23KaVontae TurpinDAL · WR7% model · 16% market+540at build
- 24Luke SchoonmakerDAL · TE5% model · 8% market+1100at build
- 25Devin DuvernayARI · WR4% model · 5% market+1849at build
- 26Simi FehokoARI · WR3% model · 6% market+1450at build
- 27Malik HookerDAL · FSlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 28DaRon BlandDAL · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+4305at build
- 29Budda BakerARI · Slimited data1% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 30Garrett WilliamsARI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 31Denzel BurkeARI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 32Joey Porter Jr.DAL · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 33Caleb DownsDAL · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 34Andrew WingardARI · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 35DeMarvion OvershownDAL · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 36Mack WilsonARI · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+16029at build
- 37Jack GibbensARI · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+16849at build
- 38Josh SweatARI · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 39Darius RobinsonARI · DLlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 40Dante StillsARI · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (26)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Javonte WilliamsDAL · RBATD 57.6%+320at build
- 2CeeDee LambDAL · WRATD 42.8%+520at build
- 3George PickensDAL · WRATD 33.8%+640at build
- 4Trey McBrideARI · TEATD 46.2%+700at build
- 5Jeremiyah LoveARI · RBATD 33.6%+1000at build
- 6Jake FergusonDAL · TEATD 23.3%+1301at build
- 7Michael WilsonARI · WRATD 36.3%+1349at build
- 8Ryan FlournoyDAL · WRATD 31.8%+1349at build
- 9Tyler GoodsonDAL · RBATD 14.6%+1801at build
- 10Tyler AllgeierARI · RBATD 25.5%+1900at build
- 11Brevyn Spann-FordDAL · TEATD 15.2%+2497at build
- 12Dak PrescottDAL · QBATD 8.6%+2497at build
- 13Kendrick BourneARI · WRATD 14.1%+2497at build
- 14Elijah HigginsARI · TEATD 11.4%+2799at build
- 15Jacoby BrissettARI · QBATD 12.1%+3702at build
- 16Jonathan MingoDAL · WRATD 9.7%+3900at build
- 17KaVontae TurpinDAL · WRATD 7.4%+3900at build
- 18Hunter LuepkeDAL · RBATD 13.8%+4900at build
- 19Luke SchoonmakerDAL · TEATD 4.8%+5888at build
- 20Reggie VirgilARI · WRATD 8.8%+5888at build
- 21Camden BrownDAL · WRATD 13.6%+6394at build
- 22Teagan QuitorianoARI · TEATD 8.9%+6394at build
- 23Zay JonesARI · WRATD 8.7%+6394at build
- 24Devin DuvernayARI · WRATD 3.8%+7419at build
- 25Simi FehokoARI · WRATD 2.5%+7900at build
- 26Evan HullARI · RBATD 9.3%+9900at build
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Sun 1:00 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Sam LaPortaDET · TE40% model · 29% market+11.3pts+250at build
- Aaron JonesMIN · RB36% model · 27% market+9.5pts+275at build
- Jauan JenningsMIN · WR20% model · 14% market+6.7pts+640at build
- Jameson WilliamsDET · WR35% model · 31% market+4.2pts+225at build
- Jared GoffDET · QB10% model · 8% market+2.3pts+1150at build
- Isaac TeSlaaDET · WR19% model · 18% market+1.5pts+470at build
- Jordan AddisonMIN · WR26% model · 25% market+1.3pts+300at build
- Amon-Ra St. BrownJon's pickDET · WR41% model · 40% market+1.1pts+150at build
Jahmyr Gibbs is the model's most likely scorer (60.2%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at -151 or better.
Full model board · all 51 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Jahmyr Gibbsmodel's #1DET · RBoverpriced — value at -151 or better60% model · 70% market-233at build
- 2Amon-Ra St. BrownJon's pickDET · WR41% model · 40% market+150at build
- 3Sam LaPortaDET · TE40% model · 29% market+250at build
- 4Aaron JonesMIN · RB36% model · 27% market+275at build
- 5Jameson WilliamsDET · WR35% model · 31% market+225at build
- 6Jordan MasonMIN · RB33% model · 37% market+168at build
- 7Justin JeffersonMIN · WR31% model · 34% market+192at build
- 8Jordan AddisonMIN · WR26% model · 25% market+300at build
- 9T.J. HockensonMIN · TE23% model · 26% market+280at build
- 10Jauan JenningsMIN · WR20% model · 14% market+640at build
- 11Isaac TeSlaaDET · WR19% model · 18% market+470at build
- 12Kyler MurrayMIN · QB15% model · 17% market+500at build
- 13Jared GoffDET · QB10% model · 8% market+1150at build
- 14Brock WrightDET · TE10% model · 11% market+840at build
- 15Sione VakiDET · RB10% model · 11% market+840at build
- 16Tyler ConklinDET · TE10% model · 4% market+2497at build
- 17Max BredesonMIN · RBlimited data8% model · 3% market+3105at build
- 18Gavin BartholomewMIN · TElimited data8% model · 10% market+950at build
- 19DeeJay DallasMIN · RB7% model · 13% market+700stale
- 20Jacob SaylorsDET · RB6% model · 10% market+950at build
- 21Tai FeltonMIN · WR5% model · 11% market+840at build
- 22Ben YurosekMIN · TE5% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 23Jackson MeeksDET · TElimited data5% model · 4% market+2497at build
- 24Myles PriceMIN · WR5% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 25Tay MartinDET · WR5% model · 4% market+2497at build
- 26DeAndre CarterDET · WR4% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 27Harrison SmithMIN · FSlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 28Isaiah RodgersMIN · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 29Byron MurphyMIN · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+6893at build
- 30Roger McCrearyDET · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 31Brian BranchDET · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 32D.J. ReedDET · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 33Ennis Rakestraw Jr.DET · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+11948at build
- 34Josh MetellusMIN · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 35Chuck ClarkDET · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 36Theo JacksonMIN · DBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 37Jacob ThomasMIN · SAFlimited data1% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 38Jay WardMIN · SAFlimited data1% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 39Andrew Van GinkelMIN · OLBlimited data1% model · 1% market+14825at build
- 40Jack CampbellDET · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 41Derrick BarnesDET · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 42Blake CashmanMIN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+11948at build
- 43DJ WonnumDET · DElimited data0% model · 1% market+17757at build
- 44Eric WilsonMIN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+19900at build
- 45Dallas TurnerMIN · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+20733at build
- 46Aidan HutchinsonDET · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+26927at build
- 47Jalen RedmondMIN · DLlimited data0% model · 0% market+23156at build
- 48Levi Drake RodriguezMIN · DLlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 49Alim McNeillDET · DTlimited data0% model · 1% market+18768at build
- 50Tyrion Ingram-DawkinsMIN · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 51Tyleik WilliamsDET · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (26)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Jahmyr GibbsDET · RBATD 60.2%+230at build
- 2Aaron JonesMIN · RBATD 36.2%+560at build
- 3Jordan MasonMIN · RBATD 33.1%+560at build
- 4Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · WRATD 41.1%+640at build
- 5Justin JeffersonMIN · WRATD 30.8%+840at build
- 6Sam LaPortaDET · TEATD 39.9%+860at build
- 7Jameson WilliamsDET · WRATD 35.0%+1049at build
- 8T.J. HockensonMIN · TEATD 22.7%+1250at build
- 9Jordan AddisonMIN · WRATD 26.3%+1651at build
- 10Isaac TeSlaaDET · WRATD 19.0%+2199at build
- 11Kyler MurrayMIN · QBATD 15.2%+2400at build
- 12Jauan JenningsMIN · WRATD 20.2%+3497at build
- 13Brock WrightDET · TEATD 9.5%+3900at build
- 14DeeJay DallasMIN · RBATD 6.5%+3900stale
- 15Sione VakiDET · RBATD 9.5%+3900at build
- 16Tai FeltonMIN · WRATD 5.4%+3900at build
- 17Jacob SaylorsDET · RBATD 5.7%+4900at build
- 18Gavin BartholomewMIN · TEATD 7.5%+5888at build
- 19Jared GoffDET · QBATD 10.3%+5888at build
- 20Myles PriceMIN · WRATD 4.6%+6893at build
- 21DeAndre CarterDET · WRATD 4.2%+7419at build
- 22Tyler ConklinDET · TEATD 9.5%+8375at build
- 23Jackson MeeksDET · TEATD 5.3%+9900at build
- 24Max BredesonMIN · RBATD 7.6%+9900at build
- 25Tay MartinDET · WRATD 4.5%+9900stale
- 26Ben YurosekMIN · TEATD 5.3%+11948at build
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
Sun 1:00 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Tim PatrickNYJ · WR13% model · 5% market+7.5pts+1849at build
- Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ · WRlimited data31% model · 25% market+6.4pts+300at build
- Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · WR12% model · 6% market+6.0pts+1450at build
- Jeremy RuckertNYJ · TE10% model · 6% market+3.9pts+1500at build
- Tre TuckerLV · WR29% model · 27% market+1.7pts+265at build
- Garrett WilsonNYJ · WR37% model · 36% market+1.3pts+178at build
Ashton Jeanty is the model's most likely scorer (47.8%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at +109 or better.
Full model board · all 44 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Ashton Jeantymodel's #1LV · RBoverpriced — value at +109 or better48% model · 49% market+106at build
- 2Braelon AllenNYJ · RBoverpriced — value at +128 or better44% model · 45% market+124at build
- 3Brock BowersLV · TEoverpriced — value at +153 or better40% model · 45% market+120at build
- 4Breece HallNYJ · RBoverpriced — value at +159 or better39% model · 50% market-101at build
- 5Garrett WilsonNYJ · WR37% model · 36% market+178at build
- 6Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ · WRlimited data31% model · 25% market+300at build
- 7Tre TuckerLV · WR29% model · 27% market+265at build
- 8Michael MayerLV · TE20% model · 23% market+330at build
- 9Mason TaylorNYJ · TE20% model · 20% market+390at build
- 10Adonai MitchellNYJ · WR20% model · 20% market+400at build
- 11Kenyon SadiqNYJ · TE17% model · 17% market+500at build
- 12Jalen NailorLV · WR16% model · 17% market+490at build
- 13Mike Washington Jr.LV · RB16% model · 24% market+310at build
- 14Tim PatrickNYJ · WR13% model · 5% market+1849at build
- 15Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · WR12% model · 6% market+1450at build
- 16Isaiah DavisNYJ · RB12% model · 14% market+600at build
- 17Jeremy RuckertNYJ · TE10% model · 6% market+1500at build
- 18Jack BechLV · WR9% model · 12% market+720at build
- 19Cody WhiteLV · WR9% model · 12% market+720at build
- 20Geno SmithNYJ · QB8% model · 10% market+900at build
- 21Jelani WoodsNYJ · TE8% model · 4% market+2199at build
- 22Kirk CousinsLV · QB8% model · 4% market+2701at build
- 23Ian ThomasLV · TE7% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 24Dont'e Thornton Jr.LV · WR7% model · 13% market+700at build
- 25Malik McClainNYJ · WRlimited data5% model · 5% market+1849at build
- 26Connor HeywardLV · FBlimited data5% model · 7% market+1301at build
- 27Andrew BeckNYJ · FBlimited data5% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 28Dylan LaubeLV · RB5% model · 7% market+1349at build
- 29Malik BensonLV · WR5% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 30Dareke YoungLV · WR3% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 31Minkah FitzpatrickNYJ · FSlimited data1% model · 2% market+4900at build
- 32Azareye'h ThomasNYJ · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 33Brandon StephensNYJ · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 34Dane BeltonNYJ · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 35Jeremy ChinnLV · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 36Treydan StukesLV · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 37Demario DavisNYJ · OLBlimited data1% model · 1% market+11948at build
- 38Nakobe DeanLV · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 39Jamien SherwoodNYJ · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 40Quay WalkerLV · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+9424at build
- 41Will McDonald IVNYJ · DElimited data0% model · 1% market+19900at build
- 42Kingsley EnagbareNYJ · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+22122at build
- 43Jowon BriggsNYJ · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+23710at build
- 44Harrison PhillipsNYJ · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (30)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Ashton JeantyLV · RBATD 47.8%+540at build
- 2Breece HallNYJ · RBATD 38.6%+540at build
- 3Braelon AllenNYJ · RBATD 43.8%+620at build
- 4Brock BowersLV · TEATD 39.6%+620at build
- 5Garrett WilsonNYJ · WRATD 37.3%+900at build
- 6Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ · WRATD 31.4%+1250at build
- 7Tre TuckerLV · WRATD 29.1%+1250at build
- 8Mike Washington Jr.LV · RBATD 16.0%+1349at build
- 9Michael MayerLV · TEATD 20.1%+1748at build
- 10Adonai MitchellNYJ · WRATD 19.5%+2001at build
- 11Mason TaylorNYJ · TEATD 20.0%+2001at build
- 12Kenyon SadiqNYJ · TEATD 16.6%+2199at build
- 13Geno SmithNYJ · QBATD 8.2%+2497at build
- 14Isaiah DavisNYJ · RBATD 11.6%+2603at build
- 15Jalen NailorLV · WRATD 16.3%+2799at build
- 16Jack BechLV · WRATD 9.2%+3105at build
- 17Cody WhiteLV · WRATD 8.5%+3900at build
- 18Dont'e Thornton Jr.LV · WRATD 6.8%+3900at build
- 19Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · WRATD 12.4%+4900at build
- 20Kirk CousinsLV · QBATD 7.8%+5395at build
- 21Connor HeywardLV · FBATD 5.1%+5888at build
- 22Dylan LaubeLV · RBATD 5.0%+5888at build
- 23Jelani WoodsNYJ · TEATD 8.0%+6394at build
- 24Jeremy RuckertNYJ · TEATD 10.1%+6394at build
- 25Malik McClainNYJ · WRATD 5.4%+6394at build
- 26Tim PatrickNYJ · WRATD 12.6%+6394at build
- 27Dareke YoungLV · WRATD 2.5%+7900at build
- 28Ian ThomasLV · TEATD 7.4%+7900at build
- 29Malik BensonLV · WRATD 4.9%+7900at build
- 30Andrew BeckNYJ · FBATD 5.1%+9424at build
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Brandon JohnsonPIT · WR10% model · 5% market+5.1pts+1801stale
- Rico DowdlePIT · RB29% model · 27% market+2.3pts+275at build
- Denzel BostonCLE · WR27% model · 26% market+1.4pts+285at build
Full model board · all 49 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Jaylen Warrenmodel's #1PIT · RB53% model · 52% market-109at build
- 2Quinshon JudkinsCLE · RBoverpriced — value at +232 or better30% model · 39% market+158at build
- 3DK MetcalfPIT · WRoverpriced — value at +237 or better30% model · 33% market+205at build
- 4Rico DowdlePIT · RB29% model · 27% market+275at build
- 5Denzel BostonCLE · WR27% model · 26% market+285at build
- 6Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · TE25% model · 24% market+310at build
- 7Germie BernardPIT · WR24% model · 27% market+270at build
- 8Pat FreiermuthPIT · TE19% model · 23% market+330at build
- 9Dylan SampsonCLE · RB15% model · 15% market+580at build
- 10Darnell WashingtonPIT · TE14% model · 25% market+295at build
- 11Deshaun WatsonCLE · QB14% model · 20% market+390at build
- 12Jerry JeudyCLE · WR14% model · 14% market+620at build
- 13Brandon JohnsonPIT · WR10% model · 5% market+1801stale
- 14Brandon SmithPIT · WRlimited data10% model · 10% market+900stale
- 15Aaron RodgersPIT · QB9% model · 8% market+1150at build
- 16Isaiah BondCLE · WR7% model · 5% market+2098at build
- 17Jaleel McLaughlinCLE · RB7% model · 6% market+1550at build
- 18Lew Nichols IIIPIT · RB6% model · 4% market+2199at build
- 19Michael BurtonCLE · FBlimited data5% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 20Riley NowakowskiPIT · FBlimited data5% model · 3% market+3702at build
- 21Travis HomerPIT · RB4% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 22Kaden WetjenPIT · WR4% model · 6% market+1550at build
- 23Malachi CorleyCLE · WR4% model · 4% market+2603at build
- 24Ben SkowronekPIT · WR3% model · 7% market+1349at build
- 25Eli HeidenreichPIT · RBlimited data3% model · 6% market+1500at build
- 26Blake WhiteheartCLE · TE3% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 27Robert TonyanPIT · TE3% model · 4% market+2400at build
- 28Tylan WallaceCLE · WR2% model · 3% market+3900at build
- 29Carsen RyanCLE · TElimited data2% model · 3% market+3497stale
- 30Jalen RamseyPIT · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 31Denzel WardCLE · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 32Jamel DeanPIT · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 33Tyson CampbellCLE · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 34Ronnie Hickman Jr.CLE · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 35Grant DelpitCLE · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 36Jaquan BriskerPIT · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 37T.J. WattPIT · OLBlimited data1% model · 1% market+19900at build
- 38Patrick QueenPIT · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+4900at build
- 39Carson SchwesingerCLE · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 40Quincy WilliamsCLE · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 41Payton WilsonPIT · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+9424at build
- 42Adin HuntingtonCLE · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 43Derek BarnettCLE · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 44Isaiah McGuireCLE · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 45Jared VerseCLE · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 46Sam WilliamsCLE · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+49900stale
- 47Maliek CollinsCLE · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+26216at build
- 48Mason GrahamCLE · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 49Mike Hall Jr.CLE · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (29)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Jaylen WarrenPIT · RBATD 52.7%+370at build
- 2Quinshon JudkinsCLE · RBATD 30.1%+620at build
- 3DK MetcalfPIT · WRATD 29.7%+840at build
- 4Rico DowdlePIT · RBATD 29.0%+880at build
- 5Germie BernardPIT · WRATD 23.9%+1000at build
- 6Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · TEATD 24.6%+1250at build
- 7Denzel BostonCLE · WRATD 27.4%+1301at build
- 8Pat FreiermuthPIT · TEATD 18.9%+1301at build
- 9Darnell WashingtonPIT · TEATD 14.5%+1399at build
- 10Dylan SampsonCLE · RBATD 14.9%+1399at build
- 11Deshaun WatsonCLE · QBATD 14.2%+1450at build
- 12Jerry JeudyCLE · WRATD 13.6%+2603at build
- 13Brandon SmithPIT · WRATD 10.2%+3900stale
- 14Aaron RodgersPIT · QBATD 8.6%+4305at build
- 15Ben SkowronekPIT · WRATD 3.3%+4900at build
- 16Kaden WetjenPIT · WRATD 4.0%+5888at build
- 17Blake WhiteheartCLE · TEATD 3.0%+6394at build
- 18Eli HeidenreichPIT · RBATD 3.3%+6394at build
- 19Jaleel McLaughlinCLE · RBATD 6.5%+6394at build
- 20Brandon JohnsonPIT · WRATD 10.4%+7900stale
- 21Lew Nichols IIIPIT · RBATD 5.5%+7900at build
- 22Isaiah BondCLE · WRATD 6.6%+8909at build
- 23Michael BurtonCLE · FBATD 5.1%+9424at build
- 24Carsen RyanCLE · TEATD 1.7%+9900stale
- 25Malachi CorleyCLE · WRATD 3.7%+9900at build
- 26Riley NowakowskiPIT · FBATD 5.1%+9900at build
- 27Travis HomerPIT · RBATD 4.4%+9900at build
- 28Tylan WallaceCLE · WRATD 2.1%+9900at build
- 29Robert TonyanPIT · TEATD 2.7%+16849at build
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM ETNo positive model edges at the prices available on this game right now.
Bijan Robinson is the model's most likely scorer (54.7%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at -121 or better.
Full model board · all 46 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Bijan Robinsonmodel's #1ATL · RBoverpriced — value at -121 or better55% model · 63% market-172at build
- 2Bucky IrvingTB · RBoverpriced — value at +111 or better48% model · 50% market-101at build
- 3Drake LondonATL · WRoverpriced — value at +182 or better35% model · 38% market+162at build
- 4Emeka EgbukaTB · WRoverpriced — value at +303 or better25% model · 35% market+184stale
- 5Cade OttonTB · TEoverpriced — value at +324 or better24% model · 25% market+300at build
- 6Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR20% model · 31% market+225at build
- 7Kyle PittsATL · TE18% model · 25% market+300at build
- 8Tez JohnsonTB · WR17% model · 23% market+340at build
- 9Jahan DotsonATL · WR17% model · 20% market+390at build
- 10Sean TuckerTB · RB13% model · 19% market+440at build
- 11Baker MayfieldTB · QB13% model · 17% market+500at build
- 12Khalil HerbertATL · RB10% model · 12% market+740at build
- 13Brian RobinsonATL · RB10% model · 29% market+250stale
- 14Charlie WoernerATL · TE9% model · 7% market+1250at build
- 15Austin HooperATL · TE9% model · 8% market+1150at build
- 16Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QB8% model · 8% market+1100at build
- 17Zachariah BranchATL · WR7% model · 11% market+800at build
- 18Olamide ZaccheausATL · WR6% model · 11% market+800at build
- 19Bauer SharpTB · TE6% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 20Nick MuseATL · TE6% model · 4% market+2400at build
- 21Payne DurhamTB · TE5% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 22Chris BlairATL · WR5% model · 4% market+2298at build
- 23Ko KieftTB · TE5% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 24Kameron JohnsonTB · WR4% model · 2% market+4900at build
- 25Jessie BatesATL · FSlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 26Jacob ParrishTB · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 27C.J. HendersonATL · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 28Zyon McCollumTB · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 29A.J. TerrellATL · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 30Tykee SmithTB · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 31Xavier WattsATL · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 32Antoine Winfield Jr.TB · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 33David Sills VTB · UNKlimited data1% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 34Alex AnzaloneTB · MLBlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 35Josiah TrotterTB · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 36Brandon DorlusATL · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 37Cameron ThomasATL · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 38David WalkerTB · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 39Rueben Bain Jr.TB · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 40Yaya DiabyTB · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 41Al-Quadin MuhammadTB · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 42A'Shawn RobinsonTB · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 43Gervon Dexter Sr.ATL · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 44Vita VeaTB · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 45Calijah KanceyTB · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 46Maason SmithATL · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (25)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Bijan RobinsonATL · RBATD 54.7%+300at build
- 2Bucky IrvingTB · RBATD 47.5%+440at build
- 3Drake LondonATL · WRATD 35.4%+720at build
- 4Emeka EgbukaTB · WRATD 24.8%+880stale
- 5Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WRATD 20.1%+1100at build
- 6Tez JohnsonTB · WRATD 17.3%+1100at build
- 7Cade OttonTB · TEATD 23.6%+1301at build
- 8Brian RobinsonATL · RBATD 9.5%+1399stale
- 9Kyle PittsATL · TEATD 17.7%+1500at build
- 10Jahan DotsonATL · WRATD 16.9%+2001at build
- 11Sean TuckerTB · RBATD 13.2%+2199at build
- 12Zachariah BranchATL · WRATD 6.8%+2400at build
- 13Baker MayfieldTB · QBATD 12.7%+2497at build
- 14Khalil HerbertATL · RBATD 9.9%+2603at build
- 15Olamide ZaccheausATL · WRATD 6.3%+3900at build
- 16David Sills VTB · UNKATD 0.5%+4508at build
- 17Austin HooperATL · TEATD 8.7%+4708at build
- 18Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QBATD 8.3%+4900at build
- 19Payne DurhamTB · TEATD 5.2%+4900at build
- 20Charlie WoernerATL · TEATD 9.4%+6394at build
- 21Kameron JohnsonTB · WRATD 4.1%+7419at build
- 22Bauer SharpTB · TEATD 6.2%+7900at build
- 23Ko KieftTB · TEATD 4.9%+7900at build
- 24Chris BlairATL · WRATD 5.0%+9900at build
- 25Nick MuseATL · TEATD 6.1%+9900at build
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 1:00 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Tanner KoziolJAX · TElimited data11% model · 4% market+7.3pts+2603at build
- C.J. WilliamsJAX · WRlimited data11% model · 4% market+7.3pts+2497at build
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX · RB30% model · 26% market+4.4pts+285at build
- Josh DownsIND · WR21% model · 19% market+1.6pts+430at build
Full model board · all 49 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Jonathan TaylorJon's pickmodel's #1IND · RB46% model · 49% market+106at build
- 2Bhayshul TutenJAX · RBoverpriced — value at +120 or better46% model · 50% market-101at build
- 3Parker WashingtonJAX · WRoverpriced — value at +153 or better40% model · 50% market-101at build
- 4Brenton StrangeJAX · TEoverpriced — value at +228 or better31% model · 35% market+188at build
- 5Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX · RB30% model · 26% market+285at build
- 6Jakobi MeyersJAX · WR28% model · 32% market+210at build
- 7Josh DownsIND · WR21% model · 19% market+430at build
- 8Tyler WarrenIND · TE20% model · 24% market+310at build
- 9Josh CameronJAX · WR18% model · 31% market+225at build
- 10Nate BoerkircherJAX · TE15% model · 15% market+580at build
- 11Brian Thomas Jr.JAX · WR14% model · 26% market+285at build
- 12Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB14% model · 25% market+300at build
- 13Keenan AllenIND · WR13% model · 20% market+390at build
- 14Laquon TreadwellIND · WR12% model · 12% market+720at build
- 15Daniel JonesIND · QB12% model · 12% market+720at build
- 16C.J. WilliamsJAX · WRlimited data11% model · 4% market+2497at build
- 17Tanner KoziolJAX · TElimited data11% model · 4% market+2603at build
- 18Seth McGowanIND · RB9% model · 21% market+370at build
- 19Mo Alie-CoxIND · TE9% model · 6% market+1450at build
- 20LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX · RB9% model · 6% market+1450at build
- 21DJ GiddensIND · RB9% model · 5% market+2001at build
- 22Ameer AbdullahJAX · RB8% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 23Andrew OgletreeIND · TE7% model · 5% market+1849at build
- 24Will MalloryIND · TE6% model · 6% market+1450at build
- 25Deion BurksIND · WR5% model · 6% market+1550at build
- 26Quintin MorrisJAX · TE4% model · 7% market+1349at build
- 27Ashton DulinIND · WR4% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 28Anthony GouldIND · WR1% model · 4% market+2400at build
- 29Travis HunterJAX · CBlimited data1% model · 20% market+390at build
- 30Eric MurrayJAX · Slimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 31Jarrian JonesJAX · CBlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 32Jourdan LewisJAX · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+6893at build
- 33Sauce GardnerIND · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 34Charvarius WardIND · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 35A.J. HaulcyIND · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 36Cam BynumIND · UNKlimited data1% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 37Foyesade OluokunJAX · LBlimited data0% model · 3% market+3301at build
- 38Ventrell MillerJAX · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 39Akeem Davis-GaitherIND · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 40Dennis GardeckJAX · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+13985at build
- 41Josh Hines-AllenJAX · DElimited data0% model · 1% market+17757at build
- 42Travon WalkerJAX · DElimited data0% model · 1% market+17757at build
- 43Jaylahn TuimoloauIND · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+29312at build
- 44Laiatu LatuIND · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 45Arik ArmsteadJAX · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+23710at build
- 46Adetomiwa AdebaworeIND · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 47DaVon HamiltonJAX · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 48Grover StewartIND · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 49Ruke OrhorhoroJAX · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (29)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Bhayshul TutenJAX · RBATD 45.5%+470at build
- 2Parker WashingtonJAX · WRATD 39.5%+470at build
- 3Jonathan TaylorIND · RBATD 45.9%+600at build
- 4Brenton StrangeJAX · TEATD 30.5%+950at build
- 5Jakobi MeyersJAX · WRATD 28.5%+1049at build
- 6Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX · RBATD 30.4%+1200at build
- 7Josh CameronJAX · WRATD 17.6%+1200at build
- 8Brian Thomas Jr.JAX · WRATD 13.8%+1601at build
- 9Trevor LawrenceJAX · QBATD 13.5%+1601at build
- 10Tyler WarrenIND · TEATD 20.3%+1900at build
- 11Travis HunterJAX · CBATD 1.0%+2001at build
- 12Josh DownsIND · WRATD 20.5%+2199at build
- 13Nate BoerkircherJAX · TEATD 15.3%+2199at build
- 14Seth McGowanIND · RBATD 9.1%+2199at build
- 15Keenan AllenIND · WRATD 12.8%+2400at build
- 16Laquon TreadwellIND · WRATD 12.1%+3497at build
- 17Daniel JonesIND · QBATD 11.5%+3702at build
- 18LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX · RBATD 8.8%+4900at build
- 19Ameer AbdullahJAX · RBATD 7.5%+5888at build
- 20Quintin MorrisJAX · TEATD 4.0%+6394at build
- 21Will MalloryIND · TEATD 5.6%+6394at build
- 22Ashton DulinIND · WRATD 3.8%+7900at build
- 23Deion BurksIND · WRATD 5.1%+7900at build
- 24Mo Alie-CoxIND · TEATD 8.9%+7900at build
- 25Andrew OgletreeIND · TEATD 6.8%+8375at build
- 26Anthony GouldIND · WRATD 1.4%+9900stale
- 27C.J. WilliamsJAX · WRATD 11.1%+9900at build
- 28DJ GiddensIND · RBATD 8.6%+9900at build
- 29Tanner KoziolJAX · TEATD 11.0%+9900at build
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun 4:05 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Theo Wease Jr.LAC · WR14% model · 6% market+8.3pts+1699stale
- CJ DanielsLAR · WRlimited data13% model · 5% market+8.2pts+2001stale
- Max KlareLAR · TElimited data13% model · 5% market+7.6pts+1801stale
- Blake CorumLAR · RB40% model · 38% market+1.7pts+164stale
Full model board · all 37 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Kyren WilliamsJon's pickmodel's #1LAR · RB55% model · 57% market-135stale
- 2Puka NacuaLAR · WRoverpriced — value at +116 or better46% model · 54% market-116stale
- 3Blake CorumLAR · RB40% model · 38% market+164stale
- 4Omarion HamptonLAC · RBoverpriced — value at +218 or better31% model · 33% market+200stale
- 5Tyler HigbeeLAR · TEoverpriced — value at +252 or better28% model · 33% market+200stale
- 6Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE28% model · 27% market+270stale
- 7Quentin JohnstonLAC · WR25% model · 25% market+300stale
- 8Davis AllenLAR · TE18% model · 27% market+270stale
- 9Kimani VidalLAC · RB17% model · 18% market+470stale
- 10Konata MumpfieldLAR · WR16% model · 20% market+400stale
- 11Justin HerbertLAC · QB16% model · 18% market+460stale
- 12Theo Wease Jr.LAC · WR14% model · 6% market+1699stale
- 13KeAndre Lambert-SmithLAC · WR14% model · 16% market+540stale
- 14CJ DanielsLAR · WRlimited data13% model · 5% market+2001stale
- 15Max KlareLAR · TElimited data13% model · 5% market+1801stale
- 16Ladd McConkeyLAC · WR13% model · 27% market+270stale
- 17Oronde Gadsden IILAC · TE12% model · 16% market+540stale
- 18Charlie KolarLAC · TE12% model · 20% market+390stale
- 19Keaton MitchellLAC · RB12% model · 17% market+490stale
- 20Tutu AtwellLAR · WR10% model · 12% market+740stale
- 21Tre HarrisLAC · WR9% model · 25% market+300stale
- 22Matthew StaffordLAR · QB9% model · 6% market+1699stale
- 23Scott MatlockLAC · RBlimited data8% model · 3% market+3900stale
- 24Ronnie RiversLAR · RB8% model · 5% market+2001stale
- 25Jordan WhittingtonLAR · WR8% model · 11% market+800stale
- 26Dean ConnorsLAR · RBlimited data6% model · 6% market+1699stale
- 27Hayden RucciLAC · TE6% model · 5% market+1900stale
- 28Alex BachmanLAR · WR6% model · 4% market+2497stale
- 29Derius DavisLAC · WR4% model · 4% market+2497stale
- 30Tarheeb StillLAC · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900stale
- 31Elijah MoldenLAC · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+11948stale
- 32Tony JeffersonLAC · Slimited data1% model · 1% market+12887stale
- 33Khalil MackLAC · OLBlimited data1% model · 1% market+17757stale
- 34Tuli TuipulotuLAC · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+12887stale
- 35Daiyan HenleyLAC · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+13985stale
- 36Del'Shawn PhillipsLAC · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+20733stale
- 37Akheem MesidorLAC · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+23710stale
First TD scorer market (29)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Kyren WilliamsLAR · RBATD 54.6%+400stale
- 2Puka NacuaLAR · WRATD 46.3%+470stale
- 3Blake CorumLAR · RBATD 39.6%+720stale
- 4Tyler HigbeeLAR · TEATD 28.4%+1000stale
- 5Colby ParkinsonLAR · TEATD 28.0%+1100stale
- 6Omarion HamptonLAC · RBATD 31.4%+1200stale
- 7Davis AllenLAR · TEATD 17.6%+1399stale
- 8Ladd McConkeyLAC · WRATD 12.6%+1550stale
- 9Tre HarrisLAC · WRATD 9.2%+1651stale
- 10Quentin JohnstonLAC · WRATD 25.4%+1801stale
- 11Kimani VidalLAC · RBATD 17.1%+1849stale
- 12Keaton MitchellLAC · RBATD 11.7%+2001stale
- 13Konata MumpfieldLAR · WRATD 15.8%+2001stale
- 14Charlie KolarLAC · TEATD 11.9%+2199stale
- 15Justin HerbertLAC · QBATD 15.5%+2199stale
- 16Tutu AtwellLAR · WRATD 9.5%+2701stale
- 17Oronde Gadsden IILAC · TEATD 12.4%+2799stale
- 18KeAndre Lambert-SmithLAC · WRATD 13.5%+3301stale
- 19Jordan WhittingtonLAR · WRATD 7.9%+3702stale
- 20Matthew StaffordLAR · QBATD 8.5%+6394stale
- 21Dean ConnorsLAR · RBATD 5.8%+7900stale
- 22Derius DavisLAC · WRATD 3.6%+7900stale
- 23Hayden RucciLAC · TEATD 5.6%+7900stale
- 24Theo Wease Jr.LAC · WRATD 13.9%+7900stale
- 25Alex BachmanLAR · WRATD 5.6%+9900stale
- 26CJ DanielsLAR · WRATD 13.0%+9900stale
- 27Max KlareLAR · TEATD 12.9%+9900stale
- 28Ronnie RiversLAR · RBATD 8.2%+9900stale
- 29Scott MatlockLAC · RBATD 8.4%+9900stale
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Sun 4:25 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Andrew ArmstrongKC · WRlimited data11% model · 8% market+3.7pts+1200at build
- RJ HarveyDEN · RB25% model · 21% market+3.6pts+370stale
- Patrick MahomesKC · QB17% model · 14% market+2.9pts+620at build
- Bo NixDEN · QB19% model · 17% market+1.5pts+480at build
- Jalen RoyalsKC · WR12% model · 11% market+1.2pts+840at build
Full model board · all 40 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Kenneth Walker IIIJon's pickmodel's #1KC · RB54% model · 60% market-147at build
- 2Rashee RiceKC · WRoverpriced — value at +262 or better28% model · 28% market+255at build
- 3Travis KelceKC · TEoverpriced — value at +276 or better27% model · 27% market+275at build
- 4RJ HarveyDEN · RB25% model · 21% market+370stale
- 5J.K. DobbinsDEN · RBoverpriced — value at +333 or better23% model · 32% market+210at build
- 6Jonah ColemanDEN · RBlimited data20% model · 36% market+178at build
- 7Xavier WorthyKC · WR19% model · 26% market+290at build
- 8Courtland SuttonDEN · WR19% model · 29% market+240at build
- 9Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR19% model · 29% market+240at build
- 10Bo NixDEN · QB19% model · 17% market+480at build
- 11Patrick MahomesKC · QB17% model · 14% market+620at build
- 12Jalen RoyalsKC · WR12% model · 11% market+840at build
- 13Andrew ArmstrongKC · WRlimited data11% model · 8% market+1200at build
- 14Emmett JohnsonKC · RB11% model · 10% market+860at build
- 15Troy FranklinDEN · WR10% model · 18% market+450at build
- 16Noah GrayKC · TE10% model · 11% market+820at build
- 17Adam TrautmanDEN · TE10% model · 9% market+1049at build
- 18Evan EngramDEN · TE10% model · 18% market+470at build
- 19Nate AdkinsDEN · TE9% model · 6% market+1601at build
- 20Jaydn OttKC · RBlimited data9% model · 2% market+4102at build
- 21Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN · WR7% model · 10% market+950at build
- 22Dallen BentleyDEN · TElimited data7% model · 6% market+1601at build
- 23Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR7% model · 17% market+500at build
- 24Cyrus AllenKC · WR7% model · 8% market+1200at build
- 25Jared WileyKC · TElimited data5% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 26Adam PrenticeDEN · FBlimited data5% model · 4% market+2603at build
- 27Jake BriningstoolKC · TElimited data3% model · 3% market+2799at build
- 28Nikko RemigioKC · WR3% model · 2% market+4102at build
- 29Ben VanSumerenKC · RB2% model · 2% market+4102at build
- 30Riley MossDEN · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+6893at build
- 31Pat Surtain IIDEN · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 32Brandon JonesDEN · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 33Taylor RappDEN · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 34Alex SingletonDEN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+11948at build
- 35Justin StrnadDEN · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 36Nik BonittoDEN · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+20733at build
- 37Zach AllenDEN · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+20733at build
- 38Jonathon CooperDEN · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 39Eyioma UwazurikeDEN · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 40D.J. JonesDEN · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900stale
First TD scorer market (29)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RBATD 53.9%+310at build
- 2Jonah ColemanDEN · RBATD 20.4%+600at build
- 3J.K. DobbinsDEN · RBATD 23.1%+820at build
- 4Rashee RiceKC · WRATD 27.6%+900at build
- 5Courtland SuttonDEN · WRATD 19.3%+1000at build
- 6Jaylen WaddleDEN · WRATD 19.3%+1100at build
- 7Travis KelceKC · TEATD 26.6%+1100at build
- 8Xavier WorthyKC · WRATD 19.4%+1301at build
- 9RJ HarveyDEN · RBATD 24.9%+1651stale
- 10Bo NixDEN · QBATD 18.7%+1900at build
- 11Troy FranklinDEN · WRATD 10.1%+2001at build
- 12Evan EngramDEN · TEATD 9.5%+2199at build
- 13Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WRATD 7.0%+2199at build
- 14Noah GrayKC · TEATD 9.8%+2199at build
- 15Patrick MahomesKC · QBATD 16.8%+2400at build
- 16Emmett JohnsonKC · RBATD 11.0%+2603at build
- 17Jalen RoyalsKC · WRATD 11.8%+3497at build
- 18Cyrus AllenKC · WRATD 7.0%+4102at build
- 19Adam TrautmanDEN · TEATD 9.8%+4900at build
- 20Andrew ArmstrongKC · WRATD 11.4%+4900at build
- 21Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN · WRATD 7.4%+4900at build
- 22Dallen BentleyDEN · TEATD 7.4%+6394at build
- 23Nate AdkinsDEN · TEATD 9.2%+6394at build
- 24Adam PrenticeDEN · FBATD 5.1%+7419at build
- 25Nikko RemigioKC · WRATD 3.0%+7419at build
- 26Ben VanSumerenKC · RBATD 2.1%+9900at build
- 27Jake BriningstoolKC · TEATD 3.0%+9900at build
- 28Jared WileyKC · TEATD 5.2%+9900stale
- 29Jaydn OttKC · RBATD 9.0%+9900at build
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Sun 4:25 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Malik WillisMIA · QB36% model · 28% market+7.7pts+255at build
- Caleb DouglasMIA · WRlimited data24% model · 19% market+4.9pts+420at build
- Malik WashingtonMIA · WR25% model · 22% market+3.2pts+360at build
- TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB25% model · 24% market+1.6pts+320at build
Rhamondre Stevenson is the model's most likely scorer (44.2%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at +126 or better.
Full model board · all 48 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Rhamondre Stevensonmodel's #1NE · RBoverpriced — value at +126 or better44% model · 52% market-108at build
- 2Malik WillisMIA · QB36% model · 28% market+255at build
- 3A.J. BrownNE · WRoverpriced — value at +198 or better34% model · 42% market+140at build
- 4Ollie Gordon IIMIA · RBoverpriced — value at +207 or better33% model · 41% market+144at build
- 5Hunter HenryNE · TEoverpriced — value at +292 or better26% model · 40% market+152at build
- 6TreVeyon HendersonNE · RB25% model · 24% market+320at build
- 7Malik WashingtonMIA · WR25% model · 22% market+360at build
- 8Caleb DouglasMIA · WRlimited data24% model · 19% market+420at build
- 9Drake MayeNE · QB20% model · 22% market+360at build
- 10DeMario DouglasNE · WR20% model · 30% market+235at build
- 11Eli RaridonNE · TE18% model · 23% market+340at build
- 12Efton Chism IIINE · WR16% model · 25% market+300at build
- 13Greg DulcichMIA · TE15% model · 19% market+440at build
- 14Kyle WilliamsNE · WR13% model · 23% market+330at build
- 15Chris BellMIA · WR12% model · 14% market+640at build
- 16Corey KinerNE · RB12% model · 24% market+320at build
- 17Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA · WR9% model · 6% market+1500at build
- 18Jaylen WrightMIA · RB9% model · 15% market+560at build
- 19Justin JolyMIA · TElimited data7% model · 2% market+4102at build
- 20DJ HermanMIA · RBlimited data6% model · 5% market+2001at build
- 21Seydou TraoreMIA · TElimited data5% model · 2% market+4102at build
- 22Jalen TolbertMIA · WR5% model · 3% market+3497at build
- 23Will KacmarekMIA · TE4% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 24Jared WayneMIA · WR4% model · 3% market+3497at build
- 25Ryan MillerNE · WR4% model · 10% market+900at build
- 26Cameron LatuNE · TE3% model · 4% market+2603at build
- 27Kaytron AllenMIA · RBlimited data3% model · 5% market+2001at build
- 28Kevin ByardNE · FSlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 29Marcus JonesNE · CBlimited data1% model · 3% market+3301at build
- 30Carlton Davis IIINE · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 31Christian GonzalezNE · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 32Jason Marshall Jr.MIA · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 33Chris JohnsonMIA · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 34Craig WoodsonNE · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5888at build
- 35Michael TaaffeMIA · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+6893at build
- 36Dante Trader Jr.MIA · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8909at build
- 37Jacob RodriguezMIA · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+7419at build
- 38Christian EllissNE · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+7900at build
- 39Robert SpillaneNE · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+9424at build
- 40Jordyn BrooksMIA · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 41Dre'Mont JonesNE · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+12887at build
- 42Elijah PonderNE · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+16029at build
- 43Zach SielerMIA · DElimited data0% model · 0% market+27678at build
- 44Joshua UcheMIA · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 45Chop RobinsonMIA · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 46Milton WilliamsNE · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+24900at build
- 47Cory DurdenNE · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 48Jordan PhillipsMIA · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
First TD scorer market (27)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Rhamondre StevensonNE · RBATD 44.2%+390at build
- 2Ollie Gordon IIMIA · RBATD 32.6%+600at build
- 3A.J. BrownNE · WRATD 33.6%+700at build
- 4Hunter HenryNE · TEATD 25.5%+700at build
- 5DeMario DouglasNE · WRATD 19.6%+1000at build
- 6TreVeyon HendersonNE · RBATD 25.4%+1049at build
- 7Kyle WilliamsNE · WRATD 12.9%+1150at build
- 8Malik WillisMIA · QBATD 35.9%+1250at build
- 9Malik WashingtonMIA · WRATD 24.9%+1301at build
- 10Drake MayeNE · QBATD 19.8%+1399at build
- 11Corey KinerNE · RBATD 11.8%+1500at build
- 12Eli RaridonNE · TEATD 18.4%+1500at build
- 13Efton Chism IIINE · WRATD 16.2%+1601at build
- 14Caleb DouglasMIA · WRATD 24.1%+1748at build
- 15Greg DulcichMIA · TEATD 14.7%+1849at build
- 16Jaylen WrightMIA · RBATD 8.8%+2799at build
- 17Chris BellMIA · WRATD 12.4%+2903at build
- 18Ryan MillerNE · WRATD 3.6%+3702at build
- 19Will KacmarekMIA · TEATD 4.2%+4900at build
- 20Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA · WRATD 8.9%+6394at build
- 21Kaytron AllenMIA · RBATD 3.3%+6893at build
- 22DJ HermanMIA · RBATD 5.9%+7419at build
- 23Cameron LatuNE · TEATD 3.4%+9900at build
- 24Jalen TolbertMIA · WRATD 4.6%+9900at build
- 25Jared WayneMIA · WRATD 3.8%+9900at build
- 26Justin JolyMIA · TEATD 6.8%+9900at build
- 27Seydou TraoreMIA · TEATD 4.7%+9900at build
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Sun 8:20 PM ETWhere the model sees valuemodel probability vs market-implied, by edge
- Van JeffersonWSH · WR11% model · 5% market+5.9pts+1748at build
Jayden Daniels is the model's most likely scorer (30.5%) — but not a pick at today's price: the market is asking more than our number. Good pick, wrong price. Value opens at +228 or better.
Full model board · all 48 players (ranked by Model TD%)
#PlayerModel vs marketOdds
- 1Jayden Danielsmodel's #1WSH · QBoverpriced — value at +228 or better31% model · 32% market+215at build
- 2Stefon DiggsWSH · WRoverpriced — value at +262 or better28% model · 33% market+205at build
- 3Rachaad WhiteWSH · RBoverpriced — value at +280 or better26% model · 42% market+140at build
- 4Saquon BarkleyPHI · RBoverpriced — value at +302 or better25% model · 42% market+140at build
- 5Chig OkonkwoWSH · TEoverpriced — value at +378 or better21% model · 27% market+275at build
- 6Dallas GoedertPHI · TE21% model · 31% market+225at build
- 7DeVonta SmithPHI · WR20% model · 31% market+220at build
- 8Antonio WilliamsWSH · WR19% model · 27% market+275at build
- 9Dameon PiercePHI · RB18% model · 42% market+140stale
- 10Makai LemonPHI · WR18% model · 23% market+340at build
- 11Darius CooperPHI · WR18% model · 19% market+420at build
- 12Treylon BurksWSH · WR17% model · 20% market+410at build
- 13Austin EkelerWSH · RB16% model · 16% market+520at build
- 14Jaydon BluePHI · RB16% model · 16% market+520at build
- 15Van JeffersonWSH · WR11% model · 5% market+1748at build
- 16Elijah MitchellPHI · RB11% model · 16% market+520at build
- 17Jeremy McNicholsWSH · RB11% model · 22% market+360at build
- 18Dontayvion WicksPHI · WR10% model · 24% market+320at build
- 19Dyami BrownWSH · WR10% model · 13% market+680at build
- 20John BatesWSH · TE8% model · 6% market+1601at build
- 21Tanner McKeePHI · QB7% model · 10% market+950at build
- 22Luke McCaffreyWSH · WR7% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 23Grant CalcaterraPHI · TE7% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 24Elijah MoorePHI · WR6% model · 6% market+1450at build
- 25Ben SinnottWSH · TE6% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 26Colson YankoffWSH · TE5% model · 4% market+2400at build
- 27Eli StowersPHI · TElimited data5% model · 7% market+1349at build
- 28Johnny MundtPHI · TE3% model · 5% market+1900at build
- 29Britain CoveyPHI · WR3% model · 6% market+1651at build
- 30Amik RobertsonWSH · CBlimited data1% model · 3% market+3497at build
- 31Quinyon MitchellPHI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+9424at build
- 32Cooper DeJeanPHI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+9900at build
- 33Riq WoolenPHI · CBlimited data1% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 34Jeremy ReavesWSH · DBlimited data1% model · 3% market+3702at build
- 35Nick CrossWSH · SAFlimited data1% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 36Andrew MukubaPHI · SAFlimited data1% model · 1% market+8375at build
- 37Hollywood BrownPHI · UNKlimited data1% model · 13% market+660at build
- 38Sonny StylesWSH · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+5395at build
- 39Frankie LuvuWSH · LBlimited data0% model · 2% market+6394at build
- 40Zack BaunPHI · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+10889at build
- 41Jeremiah Trotter Jr.PHI · LBlimited data0% model · 1% market+18768at build
- 42Arnold EbiketiePHI · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 43Jalyx HuntPHI · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 44Jonathan GreenardPHI · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 45Nolan SmithPHI · LBlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
- 46Jalen CarterPHI · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 47Jordan DavisPHI · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+30203at build
- 48Moro OjomoPHI · DTlimited data0% model · 0% market+49900at build
First TD scorer market (30)
Ranked by market price. Our model covers anytime TD only, so the model column shows each player's anytime TD probability for context.
- 1Rachaad WhiteWSH · RBATD 26.3%+460at build
- 2Saquon BarkleyPHI · RBATD 24.9%+490at build
- 3Dameon PiercePHI · RBATD 18.1%+700stale
- 4Jayden DanielsWSH · QBATD 30.5%+880at build
- 5Stefon DiggsWSH · WRATD 27.6%+880at build
- 6Antonio WilliamsWSH · WRATD 18.6%+1000at build
- 7Dallas GoedertPHI · TEATD 20.5%+1049at build
- 8DeVonta SmithPHI · WRATD 20.0%+1049at build
- 9Chig OkonkwoWSH · TEATD 20.9%+1200at build
- 10Jeremy McNicholsWSH · RBATD 10.5%+1301at build
- 11Treylon BurksWSH · WRATD 16.7%+1450at build
- 12Makai LemonPHI · WRATD 17.7%+1500at build
- 13Dontayvion WicksPHI · WRATD 10.4%+1550at build
- 14Austin EkelerWSH · RBATD 16.3%+1748at build
- 15Darius CooperPHI · WRATD 17.5%+1900at build
- 16Elijah MitchellPHI · RBATD 10.8%+2098at build
- 17Dyami BrownWSH · WRATD 10.2%+2497at build
- 18Hollywood BrownPHI · UNKATD 0.5%+3301at build
- 19Jaydon BluePHI · RBATD 15.8%+3702at build
- 20Elijah MoorePHI · WRATD 5.8%+4508at build
- 21John BatesWSH · TEATD 8.3%+4508at build
- 22Eli StowersPHI · TEATD 4.5%+4708at build
- 23Tanner McKeePHI · QBATD 7.4%+4708at build
- 24Van JeffersonWSH · WRATD 11.3%+4900at build
- 25Ben SinnottWSH · TEATD 5.5%+5888at build
- 26Luke McCaffreyWSH · WRATD 7.2%+5888at build
- 27Grant CalcaterraPHI · TEATD 6.5%+7419at build
- 28Britain CoveyPHI · WRATD 2.5%+7900at build
- 29Johnny MundtPHI · TEATD 2.6%+8909at build
- 30Colson YankoffWSH · TEATD 4.6%+9424at build
