Top TD Scorers: Divisional Round Bets to Cash In

Touchdown or Bust: NFL Divisional Round Betting Breakdown

The NFL playoffs are heating up, and if you're trying to cash in on some touchdown scorers, you’ve come to the right place. With a mix of injuries, quarterback chaos, and suspicious line moves, there’s no shortage of betting angles to attack. Let’s dive into the key matchups and the players who could find paydirt this weekend.

Broncos vs. Bills: Thin Receivers, Thick Opportunity

The Buffalo Bills are limping into this game with a wideout room that looks more like an IR report. Josh Palmer, Gabe Davis, and Tyrell Shavers are all out, leaving Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel, and Khalil Shakir to carry the load. Coleman, despite being underwhelming all season, actually leads the team in end zone targets. At +550, he’s a boom-or-bust option worth a sprinkle in the touchdown market.

On the Broncos side, Courtland Sutton is the clear WR1 and has been a magnet for high-value targets lately. Over the last five games, he’s racked up seven end zone targets and three touchdowns. With Troy Franklin fading into the background and Bo Nix likely to air it out whether they're trailing or not, Sutton at around +200 is one of the most stable bets on the board.

And then there’s Josh Allen. The man has eight rushing touchdowns in his last eight postseason games. He’s been using his legs more under OC Joe Brady, and against a stingy Broncos defense that excels in man coverage (which gives Buffalo's depleted WR corps nightmares), Allen at even money to score makes a whole lot of sense. If the Bills get in the red zone, it’s likely Allen will take matters into his own hands — literally.

Niners vs. Seahawks: Looking Beyond the Usual Suspects

This NFC West showdown has been low-scoring all season, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t touchdown opportunities. For Seattle, all eyes are on Jackson Smith-Njigba. Whenever Darnold has a clean pocket, JSN's target share skyrockets. And with the Niners sporting one of the lowest pressure rates in the league since losing Nick Bosa, Darnold may have time to find his favorite target. At -105, JSN is a logical if chalky play.

For the Niners, with George Kittle out, someone has to step up. Enter Jake Tonges. Yep, Jake Tonges. The backup tight end has quietly been a red zone favorite when Kittle’s been sidelined, scoring five times this season. He even found the end zone against Seattle back in Week 1. The Seahawks are elite against wideouts but struggle mightily against tight ends, ranking near the bottom in targets, catches, and yards allowed to the position. Tonges is a sneaky value pick to hit paydirt again.

Texans vs. Patriots: New Faces, Same Stakes

In this battle of rebuilding squads, there’s some real value in the touchdown market. For Houston, Tee Higgins at +320 becomes intriguing if Nico Collins can’t suit up. He’s got the size and red zone chops to make a difference, especially with a rookie QB looking for a big target when things get tight.

On the Patriots side, Drake Maye at +330 is a tasty dart throw. He’s got the wheels to scramble in for six, and let’s be real — the Pats need to manufacture offense any way they can. Hunter Henry also deserves consideration at +210. Houston has been generous to tight ends lately, and Henry remains one of Maye’s most trusted options near the goal line.

Rams vs. Bears: Chilly Weather, Hot Takes

This game might be played in the freezer, but don’t let the cold scare you off. The Bears are banged up on defense, especially at linebacker, and the Rams have been leaning on their backfield. Blake Corum at +265 is trending up, scoring in three straight games. With Matthew Stafford’s finger injury limiting the passing game, Corum could be in line for another heavy workload.

On the Bears side, DJ Moore is always in play, but keep an eye on Colston Lovett. The rookie tight end is getting more involved and could be a sneaky prop play on catches (over 4.5 catches looks juicy). As far as touchdowns go, Lovett has seen increased red zone usage and is becoming a go-to guy in the passing game.

Line Movement and Injury Angles

The oddsmakers have been busy this week. The Bills-Broncos line flipped, with Denver now favored by 1.5 points. That’s likely a nod to Buffalo’s injury woes and Denver’s relative health. The Niners-Seahawks line has Seattle favored by seven, a sign that bettors respect the Niners injuries but still believe in their talent.

Texans-Patriots saw a move toward New England, with the line shifting to Houston +3.5. That suggests sharp money backing the Pats, possibly due to Nico Collins' concussion and Christian Gonzalez’s likely return on defense.

In the Rams-Bears game, the line remains steady at Bears +3.5. The cold weather is a factor, but the Rams have the injury edge here. Bears LB T.J. Edwards and their left tackle are both out, giving the Rams a slight advantage in the trenches.

Takeaways: Who’s Getting in the End Zone?

• Keon Coleman (+550): High upside flyer in a depleted Bills WR room
• Courtland Sutton (+200): Broncos’ most reliable red zone weapon
• Josh Allen (Even): Playoff rushing TD machine, especially when WRs are MIA
• JSN (-105): Darnold’s favorite target when he’s not running for his life
• Jake Tonges: Tight end sleeper with a history of scoring when Kittle’s out
• Tee Higgins (+320): Value pick if Nico Collins sits
• Drake Maye (+330): QB with legs and nothing to lose
• Blake Corum (+265): Rams leaning on the run in freezing conditions
• Colston Lovett: Rookie tight end heating up in the passing game

Looking for a parlay? Roll the dice on Sutton, Corum, and Lovett all scoring. It’s the playoffs — go big or go home.

Good luck out there, and may your bets be as bold as your takes.

• Action Network App
• DraftKings Sportsbook