Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Daniel Gafford
Last: vs Houston Rockets · Tipped off 8:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageGafford's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (93rd percentile) and true shooting (85th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks
Read our reasoning
Gafford averages 1.8 BLK last season and his L10 blocks data shows 7/10 over 1.5 (avg 1.7), L20: 9/20. vsHOU (4g last 2026-10-21): 10.3 PPG shows he gets opportunities in this matchup, and HOU drives heavily (Sengun 13.3/g, Amen 12.0/g) toward the rim — Gafford's shot-blocking is a natural counter. +130 odds offer genuine value against a 43.5% implied probability when L10 hit rate is 70%. Season_games only 5, so treat as a trend, not a lock.
Points against the line
Recorded line 8.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 8.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
65% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 73%, 7.2 percentage points above the league rate there (15 attempts so far).
- Restricted area73%▲ 7.2 vs league65% of attempts · 15 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers100%▲ 65.7 vs league4% of attempts · 1 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range100%▲ 60.0 vs league4% of attempts · 1 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area65% / 29%11 of 15 · 73% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)26% / 19%2 of 6 · 33% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range4% / 10%1 of 1 · 100% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 30% / 6%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Right corner 34% / 5%1 of 1 · 100% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 30% / 31%No attempts · league 34% FG
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
Alperen Sengun has guarded him most: 15.5 partial possessions, 1 point on 0 of 1.
2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Houston Rockets: the 9th-best defense at an average pace; about average against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 243 forward-games against HOU · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
4 meetings on record: 10.3 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.0 assists per game (last on Oct 21). The vs HOU window above shows each game.
HOU injury report · Oct 30
- Reed Sheppard · Out
- Marcus Smart · Out
- Steven Adams · Out
- Alperen Sengun · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 13.1 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- P.J. Washingtonsmall sample without
- Zaccharie Risachersmall sample without
- Max Christiesmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
