Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Joel Embiid
Last: vs New York Knicks · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Injury report: Day-To-Day · Oct 28
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageEmbiid's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (96th percentile) and potential assists per game (88th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Joel Embiid under 24.5 points
Read our reasoning
Embiid is averaging 21.5 PPG through 4 early-season games (small sample) with a L10 avg of 22.8 — both well below the 24.5 line. L10: over 24.5 in only 3/10 games (7/10 under). vs NYK in 6 last-season games he averaged 22.2 points, also under the number. Day-To-Day plantar fasciitis designation (ruled out Sunday vs Detroit) introduces status uncertainty; if he plays at reduced effort or minutes, the under is even stronger. PHI's under-the-total projection (227.5) supports a lower-scoring environment that limits his counting stats.
Points against the line
Recorded line 24.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 24.5
home, away, 2+ days rest and in wins splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
32% of his shots come from mid-range, where he makes 46%, 5.4 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area67%level with league22% of attempts · 15 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers18%▼ 16.6 vs league25% of attempts · 17 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range45%▲ 5.4 vs league32% of attempts · 22 FGA
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area22% / 29%10 of 15 · 67% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)21% / 19%6 of 14 · 43% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range32% / 10%10 of 22 · 46% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 30% / 6%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Right corner 32% / 5%1 of 1 · 100% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 324% / 31%2 of 16 · 13% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs New York Knicks
New York Knicks defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to centers.
Who guards him
Andre Drummond has guarded him most: 18.0 partial possessions, 4 points on 2 of 7.
2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
New York Knicks: the 13th-best defense at a slow pace; stingy against centers on points.
Allowed-to-centers figures use 2025-26 (last season), 113 center-games against NY · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
6 meetings on record: 22.2 points, 7.8 rebounds, 4.3 assists per game (last on Oct 20). The vs NY window above shows each game.
NY injury report · Oct 30
- Jose Alvarado · Out
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 37.0 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
Fewer than 5 games with PHI this season, so last season (2025-26) is used.
- VJ Edgecombesmall sample without
- Dominick BarlowOut
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
