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Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game

LeBron James

Forward · Philadelphia 76ers · #23

Last: vs New York Knicks · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning

Injury report: Out · Oct 26

NBA / F
Points per game15.54 games
Rebounds per game6.54 games
Assists per game6.84 games
Threes per game0.84 games
Minutes per game33.34 games
2026-27 season

Points by game

Season average15.5
4 games · 4 with data
14
17
18
13
NYOct 20
CLEOct 22
DETOct 25
INDOct 28
Box score per game · game log through 2026-10-28.

The Edge

Role and usage

James's profile stands out most on potential assists per game (93rd percentile) and usage rate (78th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.

Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.

Minutes per game33.3 min
89th percentile of 292 players
Usage rate22.8%
78th percentile of 292 players
True shooting49.0%
20th percentile of 292 players
Touches per game71.3
94th percentile of 307 players
Drives per game10.8
77th percentile of 307 players
Rebound chances per game10.3
72nd percentile of 307 players
Catch-and-shoot attempts per game2.5
46th percentile of 292 players
Potential assists per game12.0
93rd percentile of 307 players
Clutch scoring1.0 pts
1.7 clutch minutes per game · 2 games
First basket rate—
4 starts recorded · rates shown after 5 starts
Percentiles are among 292 players with 3+ games and 10+ minutes per game; tracking metrics are ranked among the players tracked for them, a smaller group, and show no percentile until at least 50 players qualify. Clutch: Last five minutes of a game with the score within five points; per-game averages.
OddsIndex analysis

Our pick

Current pick context · independent of season selection
Our pickawaiting result

LeBron James over 5.5 assists

picked Oct 30line 5.5-263 at pick
Read our reasoning

LeBron averages 6.8 APG with a 32.5 AST% and 10.8 drives/g — elite playmaking volume regardless of scoring output. Season median is 7 assists, comfortably above 5.5. L10: over 5.5 assists in 7/10 games (avg 6.5). L20: 16/20 — the most consistent long-term signal in his prop profile. vs NYK in 2 early-season games he averaged 6.5 assists. CAUTION: LeBron carries a Day-To-Day back designation and was ruled out for Saturday's Bucks game; confirm he is active for tonight before wagering. If he plays, the assists line is the cleanest angle.

Betting context · 2026-27

Points against the line

OverUnder

Recorded line 14.5 · Points · as of Oct 28

14.5
14
17
18
13
NY
NYOct 20
CLEOct 22
DETOct 25
INDOct 28
NYnext
Over 2 of 4 · 50%Under 2 of 42026-27 season vs current line 14.5 · historical frequency, not a forecast
14.5

2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28

Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 14.5

home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.

This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.

Shot profile · 2026-27 · 54 FGA

Where he scores

48% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 62%, 4.6 percentage points below the league rate there.

  • Restricted area62%▼ 4.6 vs league48% of attempts · 26 FGA
  • Three-pointers23%▼ 11.2 vs league24% of attempts · 13 FGA · small sample
  • Mid-range38%level with league15% of attempts · 8 FGA · small sample
19%30% FG2%0% FG4%0% FG15%38% FG13%14% FG48%62% FG
  • Share of attempts
  • FG% above league
  • below
  • under 20 attempts

Where he shoots from, against the league

  • Restricted area48% / 29%16 of 26 · 62% FG against 66% for the league
  • Paint (non-restricted)13% / 19%1 of 7 · 14% FG against 44% for the league
  • Mid-range15% / 10%3 of 8 · 38% FG against 40% for the league
  • Left corner 32% / 6%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
  • Right corner 34% / 5%0 of 2 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
  • Above-the-break 319% / 31%3 of 10 · 30% FG against 34% for the league
Season to date from the daily league shot-location snapshot dated 2026-10-30; the league figure is every player in that snapshot added together.
Next game · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning

Matchup: vs New York Knicks

New York Knicks defense

Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.

Who guards him

OG Anunoby has guarded him most: 18.2 partial possessions, 2 points on 0 of 3.

2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.

Team defense

New York Knicks: the 13th-best defense at a slow pace; about average against forwards on points.

Defensive rating110.9
13th-best defense · middling
Pace99.0 poss
slow · possessions per 48 minutes
Offensive rating110.7
18th-best offense · points per 100 possessions
Points allowed to forwards12.3 per game
average · per game vs forwards
Rebounds allowed to forwards4.7 per game
stingy · per game vs forwards
Assists allowed to forwards2.3 per game
average · per game vs forwards
Threes allowed to forwards1.5 per game
generous · per game vs forwards
PRA allowed to forwards19.3 per game
stingy · per game vs forwards

Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 253 forward-games against NY · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.

2 meetings on record: 18.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, 6.5 assists per game (last on Oct 20). The vs NY window above shows each game.

NY injury report · Oct 30

Lineup context

Team ratings with him on and off the floor.

On and off

The team is 22.5 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).

  • Net rating
    On · 100 min-8.7
    Off · 92 min+13.8
Offensive and defensive rating
  • Offensive rating
    On · 100 min99.1
    Off · 92 min108.3
  • Defensive rating (lower is better)
    On · 100 min107.8
    Off · 92 min94.6

Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.

Detailed records · both seasons on record

Game log & career

Data availability

Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.

Clutch

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Who guards him

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

First basket

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Game log

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Hit rates by window

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Hustle

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Injury report

Available

Observations through 2026-10-26.

Matchup

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Next game

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

On and off

Available

Observations through 2026-10-26.

Picks

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Prop hit rates

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Recent form

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Role and usage

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Season averages

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Shot profile

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Shot quality

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.