Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Luka Dončić
Last: @ Golden State Warriors · Tipped off 10:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageDončić's profile stands out most on usage rate (100th percentile) and potential assists per game (91st percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
No active pick on Luka Dončić.
Our graded record on him: 0-1-0 · see every pick below.
Points against the line
Recorded line 32.5 · Points · as of Oct 27
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-27
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 32.5
home, away, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
53% of his shots come from threes above the break, where he makes 40%, 5.3 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area100%▲ 33.8 vs league6% of attempts · 5 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers38%▲ 4.2 vs league57% of attempts · 52 FGA
- Mid-range48%▲ 7.6 vs league23% of attempts · 21 FGA
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Plus 1 backcourt attempt, not drawn.
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area6% / 29%5 of 5 · 100% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)13% / 19%8 of 12 · 67% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range23% / 10%10 of 21 · 48% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 33% / 6%1 of 3 · 33% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 31% / 5%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 353% / 31%19 of 48 · 40% FG against 34% for the league
Matchup: @ Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
Yaxel Lendeborg has guarded him most: 18.5 partial possessions, 9 points on 1 of 5.
2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Golden State Warriors: the 27th-best defense at an average pace; about average against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 346 guard-games against GS · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
3 meetings on record: 32.3 points, 8.7 rebounds, 8.0 assists per game (last on Oct 21). The vs GS window above shows each game.
GS injury report · Oct 30
- Kristaps Porziņģis · Out
- Gui Santos · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 23.8 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
Fewer than 5 games with LAL this season, so last season (2025-26) is used.
- Jake LaRaviasmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
