Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Nikola Jokić
Last: @ Phoenix Suns · Tipped off 10:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageJokić's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (99th percentile) and potential assists per game (97th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Nikola Jokic over 11.5 rebounds
Read our reasoning
Jokic cleared 11.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games and 15 of his last 20, with a season median of 14.5 and 13.3 RPG against Phoenix last season specifically. Phoenix's dead-last team defense (DRTG 124.5, 30th) and absence of a dominant interior presence creates the second-chance volume Jokic feeds on.
Points against the line
Recorded line 29.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 29.5
home, away, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
36% of his shots come from the paint outside the restricted area, where he makes 46%, close to the league rate there.
- Restricted area80%▲ 13.8 vs league21% of attempts · 15 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers22%▼ 12.5 vs league32% of attempts · 23 FGA
- Mid-range44%▲ 4.4 vs league12% of attempts · 9 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area21% / 29%12 of 15 · 80% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)36% / 19%12 of 26 · 46% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range12% / 10%4 of 9 · 44% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 30% / 6%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Right corner 33% / 5%1 of 2 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 329% / 31%4 of 21 · 19% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: @ Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to centers.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Oso Ighodaro has guarded him most: 70.4 partial possessions, 16 points on 5 of 8.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Phoenix Suns: the 30th-best defense at a slow pace; about average against centers on points.
Allowed-to-centers figures use 2025-26 (last season), 118 center-games against PHX · team ratings over 3 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
3 meetings on record: 21.0 points, 13.3 rebounds, 14.0 assists per game (last on Mar 24). The vs PHX window above shows each game.
PHX injury report · Oct 30
- Oso Ighodaro · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 14.1 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 2 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
Fewer than 5 games with DEN this season, so last season (2025-26) is used.
- Jamal Murraysmall sample without
- Bruce Brownsmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
