Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Tolu Smith
Last: @ Brooklyn Nets · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageLatest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
No picks recorded on Tolu Smith yet.
Points against the line
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 0.5
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the season median 0.5
home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
100% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 33%, 32.8 percentage points below the league rate there (3 attempts so far).
- Restricted area33%▼ 32.8 vs league100% of attempts · 3 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointersNo shotsNo three-pointers attempts yet
- Mid-rangeNo shotsNo mid-range attempts yet
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area100% / 29%1 of 3 · 33% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)0% / 19%No attempts · league 44% FG
- Mid-range0% / 10%No attempts · league 40% FG
- Left corner 30% / 6%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Right corner 30% / 5%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Above-the-break 30% / 31%No attempts · league 34% FG
Matchup: @ Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
No Brooklyn Nets defender on the current roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season or last.
Team defense
Brooklyn Nets: the 23rd-best defense at an average pace; about average against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 250 forward-games against BKN · team ratings over 4 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
BKN injury report · Oct 30
- Egor Dëmin · Out
- Tyler Bilodeau · Out
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 41.6 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 2 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
Fewer than 5 games with DET this season, so last season (2025-26) is used.
- Jalen DurenOut
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-26.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
