Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Austin Reaves
Last: @ Golden State Warriors · Tipped off 10:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageReaves's profile stands out most on true shooting (96th percentile) and potential assists per game (90th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists
Read our reasoning
Reaves is averaging 5.4 APG this season (5 games) and has cleared 5.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (L10 avg 5.6, range 1-9, season median 6). His vsGSW track record last season (4g avg 6.5 APG) confirms this line as routinely beatable against this specific opponent. He generates assists through 19.2 drives/game at 65.7% drive FG%, forcing help defenders and creating kick-out opportunities. At 21.3% AST% with ORTG 129.7, he is the engine of LAL's offense. If Doncic misses, Reaves absorbs ball-handler duties and assist upside grows. At -120 on a 7/10 L10 hit rate, this represents real value.
Points against the line
Recorded line 21.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 21.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
39% of his shots come from the paint outside the restricted area, where he makes 72%, 27.6 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area63%▼ 3.7 vs league12% of attempts · 8 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers48%▲ 13.9 vs league42% of attempts · 27 FGA
- Mid-range20%▼ 20.0 vs league8% of attempts · 5 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area12% / 29%5 of 8 · 63% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)39% / 19%18 of 25 · 72% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range8% / 10%1 of 5 · 20% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 33% / 6%1 of 2 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 30% / 5%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Above-the-break 339% / 31%12 of 25 · 48% FG against 34% for the league
Matchup: @ Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
De'Anthony Melton has guarded him most: 13.7 partial possessions, 4 points on 1 of 2.
2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Golden State Warriors: the 27th-best defense at an average pace; about average against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 346 guard-games against GS · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
4 meetings on record: 20.8 points, 3.8 rebounds, 6.5 assists per game (last on Oct 21). The vs GS window above shows each game.
GS injury report · Oct 30
- Kristaps Porziņģis · Out
- Gui Santos · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 44.8 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Walker Kesslersmall sample without
- Quentin Grimessmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
