Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Dillon Brooks
Last: vs Denver Nuggets · Tipped off 10:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageBrooks's profile stands out most on usage rate (76th percentile) and potential assists per game (74th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Dillon Brooks over 14.5 points
Read our reasoning
Brooks averaging 14.7 PPG through 3 early-season games (small sample) — barely clearing the 14.5 line. Historical L10: 7/10 over 14.5 (avg 19.3, range 10-33), L20: 13/20 — strong historical hit rate at this line. Season median is 18.5, well above the number. vs DEN last season (2 games): 21.0 PPG, showing he elevates against this specific opponent. High USG% of 22.5% and 10.0 drives/game keep him central to PHX's offense. TS% of 50.0% is below average but the volume is there. Under total lean is a mild risk factor for scoring Overs, but Brooks at 14.5 represents a low floor relative to his historical scoring profile.
Points against the line
Recorded line 19.5 · Points · as of Oct 26
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-26
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 19.5
home, away, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
35% of his shots come from threes above the break, where he makes 23%, 11.2 percentage points below the league rate there (13 attempts so far).
- Restricted area56%▼ 10.6 vs league24% of attempts · 9 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers33%level with league41% of attempts · 15 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range40%level with league14% of attempts · 5 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area24% / 29%5 of 9 · 56% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)22% / 19%2 of 8 · 25% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range14% / 10%2 of 5 · 40% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 33% / 6%1 of 1 · 100% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 33% / 5%1 of 1 · 100% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 335% / 31%3 of 13 · 23% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. DeMar DeRozan has guarded him most: 56.2 partial possessions, 12 points on 4 of 9.
- Spencer JonesF
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Denver Nuggets: the 16th-best defense at an average pace; generous against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 241 forward-games against DEN · team ratings over 4 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
2 meetings on record: 21.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists per game (last on Nov 29). The vs DEN window above shows each game.
DEN injury report · Oct 30
- Alpha Diallo · Out
- Cameron Johnson · Out
- Spencer Jones · Out
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 23.2 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 2 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
Fewer than 5 games with PHX this season, so last season (2025-26) is used.
- Collin Gillespiesmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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