Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Zion Williamson
Last: vs Atlanta Hawks · Tipped off 7:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageWilliamson's profile stands out most on clutch minutes per game (98th percentile) and true shooting (92nd percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
No active pick on Zion Williamson.
Our graded record on him: 0-1-0 · see every pick below.
Points against the line
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 22.5
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-29
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the season median 22.5
home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
68% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 73%, 6.6 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area73%▲ 6.6 vs league68% of attempts · 44 FGA
- Three-pointers43%▲ 8.6 vs league11% of attempts · 7 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range100%▲ 60.0 vs league2% of attempts · 1 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area68% / 29%32 of 44 · 73% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)20% / 19%6 of 13 · 46% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range2% / 10%1 of 1 · 100% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 30% / 6%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Right corner 32% / 5%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 39% / 31%3 of 6 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Mouhamed Gueye has guarded him most: 28.1 partial possessions, 14 points on 6 of 6.
- Mouhamed GueyeF
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Atlanta Hawks: the 14th-best defense at an average pace; about average against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 254 forward-games against ATL · team ratings over 6 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
1 meeting on record: 22.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 6.0 assists per game (last on Jan 7). The vs ATL window above shows each game.
ATL injury report · Oct 30
- Mouhamed Gueye · Out
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 3.9 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Trey Murphy IIIsmall sample without
- Saddiq Beysmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-29.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
